The recently published State of the Industry -Tractors and Machinery 2025 from the Australian Tractor and Machinery Association (TMA), the equivalent of New Zealand’s TAMA, gives an interesting perspective of the industry.
Executive director of TMA, Gary Nortover, painted a picture of a landscape defined by sharp contrasts. The headlines showed that for the first time, Australian farm production hit AU$100 billion, but Northover noted that macro successes often masked micro realities on the ground.
Northover suggested that while the national success was a cause for celebration, 2025 brought difficult trading conditions, particularly in the southern states which suffered again with persistent droughts.
Despite the high volumes of agricultural outputs, the tractor and machinery industry he represented wrestled with significant challenges, particularly around machine pricing. This was driven by global supply chain logistics, fluctuating input costs and shifting interest rate environments.
Looking at the overall market, which collectively saw sales push AU$4.6 billion, tractors made up AU$1.7b, combines AU$816m, balers and hay tools AU$224m and self-propelled sprayers achieved AU$426m.
Numbers for sectors such as tillage and seeding tools and other machinery have, as usual, been hard to collate, but best estimates suggest AU$467m for the former and AU$977m for the latter.
Reported new tractor sales sat at a level not seen since before 2020, with a decline compared to 2024 of 7%, which was already 23% down against 2023, which in turn saw a decrease of 25% on 2022.
By the numbers, tractor sales topped out at 9521 units, which represented a drop of 29.9% against the 5-year average. For combine harvesters, a slight fall of 0.4% was recorded against 2024, but a much greater fall of 25% against the 5-year average.
Looking at the regions in more detail, Queensland at 2499 units was down by 2.5% on 2024, New South Wales ended at 2591 units (-7.7%) and Victoria finished at 2055 units (-16%). Tasmania recorded 328 units (-1%), South Australia fell 9% to 686 units, Western Australia bucked the trends by climbing 1.6% to 1256 units and the Northern Territory fared the best with a 9.3% climb to 106 units.
Back to 2026, April sales racked up 700 units, down 10% year on year with 2025, resulting in a year-to-date number sitting 8.5% below 2025. Horsepower groupings for the month saw the under 40hp sector falling 21% YTD, 40-100hp dropping by 7% YTD, the 100-200hp market dropping by 6%, while the 200hp+ group bucking the trend by climbing 2.6% YTD.
On a wider front, mainstream Australian media is continuing to report ongoing concerns about fuel and fertiliser shortages that in turn appear to be leading to reduced plantings, with some reports suggesting that farmers are struggling to undertake day-to-day operations.
The TMA suggests that demand for new tractors and machinery is likely to remain subdued for some time to come. In the meantime, reports of increasingly dry conditions in some areas of New South Wales are likely to compound the negative sentiment.
www.tsa.asn.au