Falling on-farm inflation and stable prices lift farmer confidence
The days of rising on-farm inflation and subdued farmgate prices are coming to an end for farmers, helping lift confidence.
Last month saw the annual release of the DairyNZ Economic Farm Survey and the NZ Dairy Statistics.
These fascinating documents contain a wealth of data on the average physical and financial performance of 316 randomly selected owner-operator herds during the 2016-17 production season.
Several things stand out in the survey, the main one being how well farm profit and return on asset have recovered after the previous season’s very low payout.
During the 2016-17 season, on average, farmers received $5.79/kgMS for their milk. As a result of the tough previous season, farmers have learned how vital cost control is and despite a 48% lift in payout there was virtually no lift in farm working expenses/kgMS.
Some commentators may be tempted to use the last two season’s data to push to de-intensify dairy farms, saying that high input farms are less profitable than lower input farms. However, such a conclusion would deny the long-term results of the survey.
An analysis of the past twelve seasons (Table 2) shows that on average, high input systems made more money, had the highest return on assets and now also have the lowest closing term liability/kgMS.
The data is quite clear. Over the last 12 years, on average, high input systems have made the most profit/ha, have had the best return on assets and equity, have had the best growth in equity and are less financially risky in terms of their closing liabilities/kg milksolids.
Intensification is not wrecking the profitability of NZ dairy systems. And going on the previous 12 seasons’ figures, I predict that this season’s payout will reinforce the decision many farmers have made to intensify, i.e. their decision was correct.
However, as we now know, profitability is not the only issue farmers are facing.
In next month’s column I hope to cover things that farmers can do practically to reduce their environmental and biosecurity risks.
• Ian Williams is a Pioneer forage specialist. Contact him at This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
Chinese textile company Saibosi has partnered with Wools of New Zealand to put the 'farm to floor' story of New Zealand wool rugs on screen for its customers.
Showcasing the huge range of new technologies and science that is now available was one of the highlights at last week's National Fieldays.
Coby Warmington, 29, a farm manager at Waima Topu Beef near Hokianga was named at the winner of the 2025 Ahuwhenua Young Maori Farmer Award for sheep and beef.
Northlanders scooped the pool at this year's prestigious Ahuwhenua Trophy Awards - winning both the main competition and the young Maori farmer award.
Red meat farmers are urging the Government to act on the growing number of whole sheep and beef farm sales for conversion to forestry, particularly carbon farming.
The days of rising on-farm inflation and subdued farmgate prices are coming to an end for farmers, helping lift confidence.
OPINION: Last week, Greenpeace lit up Fonterra's Auckland headquarters with 'messages from the common people' - that the sector is…
OPINION: Once upon a time the Fieldays were for real farmers, salt of the earth people who thrived on hard…