increase font size
According to DairyNZ's latest forecast data, the outlook for the current season has been imrpoved.
OPINION: DairyNZ's latest forecast data on the Econ Tracker, that the outlook for the current season has improved, will be welcome news for farmers.
Only six months ago, the outlook was dire for many farms, with soaring input costs and a very average milk payout.
In recent months, dairy prices on Global Dairy Trade have risen, although the last two GDT events have seen prices retreat slightly.
DairyNZ says revenue projections have improved largely due to better results at the global dairy auction, along with Fonterra’s adjusted projected payout for the season, now sitting at a mid-point of $7.80/kgMS.
The Econ Tracker notes significant price decreases for feed and fertiliser, bringing these more in line with historical averages, reducing on-farm costs.
But interest rates remain high, becoming one of the most significant costs for farmers this season. The Reserve Bank signalled slowed reductions to the official cash rate, meaning interest rates are now likely to reduce more slowly and later than previously expected, which will concern farmers, many of whom are on floating rates.
When considering these changes, DairyNZ’s latest forecast data on the Econ Tracker shows the national breakeven forecast currently sits at $7.75/kgMS. This is below DairyNZ’s forecast average payout received of $8.12/kgMS, which is based on the estimated milk receipts for the 2023-24 season and dairy company dividends for all processors.
With less than two months left for the season, farmers will be turning their eyes to the next season and the forecast from Econ Tracker isn’t very good.
The breakeven milk price for the 2024/25 season is forecast to sit at around $7.76/ kgMS, while the forecast payout received is $7.79/kgMS.
The message for farmers is to continue managing their budgets and costs.
Farmers will be hoping for a payout higher than Econ Tracker’s forecast of $7.79/kgMS.
August 6 marks Farm Worker Appreciation Day, a moment to recognise the dedication and hard mahi of dairy farm workers across Aotearoa - and DairyNZ is taking the opportunity to celebrate the skilled teams working on its two research farms.
OPINION: The Government has been seeking industry feedback on its proposed amendments to a range of Resource Management Act (RMA) national direction instruments.
DairyNZ chair Tracy Brown has waded into the debate around soaring butter prices, pointing out that the demand for dairy overseas dictates the price to farmers and at the supermarket.
From nitrogen limits to ecosystem restoration –farmers and catchment groups are leading a new wave of environmental care, says DairyNZ.
OPINION: The Government's decision to stop local authorities going ahead with reviews of district and regional plans makes sense for several reasons.
August 6 marks Farm Worker Appreciation Day, a moment to recognise the dedication and hard mahi of dairy farm workers across Aotearoa - and DairyNZ is taking the opportunity to celebrate the skilled teams working on its two research farms.
OPINION: The Government has been seeking industry feedback on its proposed amendments to a range of Resource Management Act (RMA) national direction instruments.
A Taupo company says it's the first to bring CO₂-powered water heating technology to New Zealand dairy sheds, helping farmers cut energy costs by up to 85%.
Waikato is home to a diverse range of lakes, and experts say they urgently need better management and restoration.
Federated Farmers is renewing its call for Greenpeace to be stripped of its charitable status immediately, following the activist group's latest publicity stunt.
Kiwis love their butter, and that's great because New Zealand produces some of the best butter in the world. But when the price of butter goes up, it's tough for some, particularly when many other grocery staples have also gone up and the heat goes on co-operative Fonterra, the country's main butter maker. Here the co-op explains why butter prices are so high right now.
OPINION: Sydney has a $12 million milk disposal problem.
OPINION: Canterbury milk processor Synlait's recovery seems to have hit another snag.
