Glut in global milk supply keeping prices down
The final Global Dairy Trade (GDT) auction has delivered bad news for dairy farmers.
Dairy prices continued to edge higher in last night’s Global Dairy Trade (GDT) auction with the aggregate price index up 0.4%.
However, there were mixed results for the individual products on offer.
Whole milk powder prices continued to edge lower, while butter prices were unchanged following their strong run over recent weeks.
Westpac analyst Anne Boniface says with just one more GDT auction before the 2018/19 season draws to a close at the end of May, the bank has “baked in the upside risk that we have been noting in recent weeks to our milk price forecast”.
It’s now forecasting a $6.50/kgMS milk price for the 2018/19 season (previously $6.40) which would be toward the upper end of Fonterra’s $6.30-6.60 forecast range.
Key Results
AMF index up 1.4%, average price US$6,217/MT
Butter index unchanged, average price US$5,486/MT
BMP index down 10.3%, average price US$3,242/MT
Ched index down 2.4%, average price US$4,217/MT
LAC index down 2.7%, average price US$887/MT
RenCas index up 3.1%, average price US$6,610/MT
SMP index up 2.8%, average price US$2,521/MT
SWP index not available, average price not available
WMP index down 0.5%, average price US$3,249/MT
According to the latest Federated Farmers banking survey, farmers are more satisfied with their bank and less under pressure, however, the sector is well short of confidence levels seen last decade.
Farmer confidence has taken a slight dip according to the final Rabobank rural confidence survey for the year.
Former Agriculture Minister and Otaki farmer Nathan Guy has been appointed New Zealand’s Special Agricultural Trade Envoy (SATE).
Alliance Group has commissioned a new heat pump system at its Mataura processing plant in Southland.
Fonterra has slashed another 50c off its milk price forecast as global milk flows shows no sign of easing.
Meat processors are hopeful that the additional 15% tariff on lamb exports to the US will also come off.
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