Sunday, 26 April 2015 12:07

World tractor sales stagnate

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The world tractor market for 2014 is estimated to be about 2.1 million units, which showed a slight decline and high regional variation. 

The big volume markets continue to be China and India where about 50% of the units sold worldwide are registered. Note that a great number of these tractors have very low horsepower, and indeed price, compared to the major players such as US, Brazil, Russia and the intensively farmed areas of Europe. 

The EU, with its intensive farming, represents about 25% of global industry turnover at about Euro 8.2 billion. But the EU only has about 8% of global tractor sales, with an average tractor value of Euro 43,000 – double the world average

Individual markets show contrasting pictures. The Americas (USA, Canada and Brazil) delivered at least 235,000 tractors, about 50% being ‘lifestyle’ type units no bigger than 40hp. Though the global financial crisis becalmed sales in 2009-2011, a clear recovery has been seen in the last two years with sales in the US exceeding 100,000 units in 2014.The key indicator was a drop in 100hp+ tractors to 32,200 units (-34%).

In Canada, the overall market was flat – about 28,000 units and a cautious outlook for 2015 despite a bumper harvest but poor crop prices.

In Brazil sales fell from 60,000 tractors in 2013 to 55,000 in 2014, about one third in the 100hp+ sector. The market remains heavily subsidised via a loan scheme (FINAME). Pundits are picking the market will decline by 5% in 2015.

In Europe, 2014 showed an overall decline of about 8%. However, different EU countries showed very different results. 

France had 22% fewer sales (33,000). Germany, down 5%, led in the Euro zone with 34,600 tractors sold at an average size of 155hp. One in every five tractors sold in Germany was over 200hp. 

The Italian machinery associations report, “the lowest figure in the post-war mechanisation of Italy has been reached in 2014”, with 18,178 tractors sold (4% down on the previous year). Much of this downward trend
was in the high horsepower market which, compared with Germany still only represents 4% of the total. 

The UK bucked the downward trend by staying flat at 13,500 units. Factories in Europe are predicting 2015 will see a continued downward trend of about 10%, caused by low commodity prices, adverse weather and the Ukraine-Russia conflict.

In Russia, a substantial market, sales fell about 6% to 37,500 units. Sales of mid-range tractors dropped sharply, but sales of sub-30hp tractors rose by nearly 40%.

In the powerhouse of Asia, Japan sales dropped by 15% to just 21,000 units. However China held its own – 524,000 sales of ‘real’ tractors to the professional farming sector. India says it remains the ‘world leader’ in tractor sales – 593,000 units, an impressive number but note it includes pedestrian tillers, single wheel units and many machines smaller than 30hp.

 

Year 2013

Year 2014

% Change

Canada

27,542

28,144

+2

United States

201,851

208,274

+3

Brazil

65,089

55,537

-15

European Union

184,335

169,500

-8

France

42,656

33,127

-22

Germany

36,248

34,611

-5

Italy

19,018

18,178

-4

UK

13,490

13,526

0

Russian Fed

40,158

37,500

-7

Japan

24,721

20,944

-15

China

524,500

524,600

0

India

619,159

592,942

-4

World

2,200,000

2,130,000

-3

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