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The 2.2% rise in GDT price index won’t be enough to prevent another downward revision of the farm gate milk price.
On the eve of Fonterra revising its farmgate milk price, the overnight Global Dairy Trade auction (GDT) offered farmers some good news.
However, the 2.2% rise in GDT price index won’t be enough to prevent another downward revision of the farm gate milk price.
Fonterra is expected to revise the farm gate milk price, currently sitting at a range of $6.25/kgMS to $6.50/kgMS.
Whole milk powder price rose 2.5% to US$2,667/MT but still below the US$3000/MT threshold. The US$3000/MT is generally regarded as the break-even point for farmers, although adverse currency movements can hinder beneficial price movements.
Key results
AMF index up 3.9%, average price US$4,755/MT
Butter index up 2.7%, average price US$3,745/MT
BMP index up 16.9%, average price US$2,973/MT
Ched index down 2.2%, average price US$3,184/MT
LAC index up 0.5%, average price US$918/MT
RenCas index up 2.0%, average price US$5,167/MT
SMP index up 0.3%, average price US$1,970/MT
SWP index not available, average price not available
WMP index up 2.5%, average price US$2,667/MT
OPINION: There is zero chance that someone who joined Fonterra as a lobbyist, then served as a general manager of Fonterra's nutrient management programme, and sat on the board of Export NZ, a division of lobbyist group Business New Zealand, doesn't understand that local butter (and milk and cheese) prices are set by the international commodity price.
Kiwis love their butter, and that's great because New Zealand produces some of the best butter in the world. But when the price of butter goes up, it's tough for some, particularly when many other grocery staples have also gone up and the heat goes on co-operative Fonterra, the country's main butter maker. Here the co-op explains why butter prices are so high right now.
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