University of Waikato research reveals 2050 drought threats
New research could help farmers prepare for a future where summer rainfall is increasingly unpredictable and where drought risk is rising, no matter what.
That seems to be the consensus on the worsening dry conditions around the country - especially in western regions of both Islands.
Earlier this month, Agriculture Minister Todd McClay classified the regions of Northland, Waikato, Horizons, and Marlborough-Tasman regions as experiencing a medium-scale adverse event, recognising the worsening conditions faced by many farmers across the country.
Taranaki had received the same declaration some weeks ago with dairy farmers along southern coastal parts of that region particularly badly hit. This latest declaration will see $100,000 made available to rural support trusts and other agencies to help farmers through this latest crisis.
McClay says below average rainfall continues to make it difficult for farmers as soil moisture levels dry out and stockfeed and water become tight in some areas. Meanwhile Rural Committees Minister Mark Patterson is encouraging farmers to seek support if they need it.
DairyNZ chair Tracy Brown, who's been travelling around NZ recently as part of a levy feedback roadshow, says the situation is very serious, with prolonged periods of dry right across the country. She says it's hard to generalise how bad it is in each region.
"In Waikato we had rain but there were variations of between one and two millimetres in some places and 25mm in other areas, so in a sense the drought has been localised," she told Dairy News.
Brown says DairyNZ has been working with other agencies such as MPI, Beef+Lamb NZ, local vets and the Rural Support Trust in Taranaki to get help to farmers that are in trouble with the dry conditions. She says they and the other groups have been running seminars and events to provide farmers with good information, but also to get them together to support each other. She says DairyNZ also has a lot of good information on its website on how farmers can deal with the dry conditions.
Feds Support Declaration
Federated Farmers is backing the Government's drought declaration saying it's a welcome proactive move.
Northland president Colin Hannah says the declaration is recognition of the growing seriousness for farmers of well-below-normal rainfall. He says from the North Cape right down the west coast of Northland, there's a major issue.
"In Wellsford, springs and wells are drying up, putting huge pressure on stock water availability," he says.
Feds Waikato president Keith Holmes says the weather pattern is very unusual, and distressing for those farmers hit hardest, with areas west of the Waikato River with places such as Tuakau, Pipio and Mahoenui getting no rain. He says east of the river it's getting quite serious too.
"Springs and wells providing stock water have dried up, and farmers are moving to once-a-day milking and sending stock to the works early," he says.
Holmes says maize crops may look good, but with insufficient water, they're putting on minimal cob and come harvest time they'll have very little feed value.
"Dairy farmers relying on maize for supplementary feed are going to come unstuck quickly," he says.
Holmes says if March stays dry, it doesn't set up farmers well for winter in the five affected provinces.
