Wednesday, 11 July 2012 08:49

Grey economic clouds

Written by 

Grey clouds still hang over the global economy, says Rabobank in its July Agribusiness review for New Zealand and Australia.

Measures announced at a European Union summit held in June to combat the debt crisis brought some calm to global markets. However, it was not sufficient enough to counter a run of weak economic data releases.

China, the eurozone and United Kingdom (UK) have all loosened monetary policy in a bid to stimulate growth. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) held the official cash rate steady at the latest meeting preferring to monitor the subdued international outlook, a trend mirrored in New Zealand.

Currency markets will remain sensitive to sudden shifts in global risk sentiment.

Weatherwise in New Zealand, June was abnormally dry in many parts of North Island, with the some areas experiencing the driest June on record.

In contrast, it was extremely wet in parts of the South Island, where rainfall was twice the normal levels for June.

Local beef prices improved through June for both New Zealand and Australian producers. Latest trade figures for both sectors show that the respective strong currencies against the USD have negatively impacted export competitiveness, with trade volumes down year-to-date.

Dairy commodity prices showed some signs of steadiness through June. Global markets are continuing to try and absorb exceptional production volumes trough recent seasonal flushes by the key regions. While evidence continues to mount that the market has reached a bottom, any meaningful recovery is still unlikely short-term.

Global fertiliser markets are in period of transition. A shift from the Northern Hemisphere spring planting program to key planting cycle in the Asia and South America is underway. This has seen markets remain relatively steady with trading activity seasonally low.

Global wheat markets staged a strong rally in June, driven by a surfacing of supply side risks to production of some key crops. Escalating concerns about corn and soybean crops in the US supported prices with hot and dry conditions threatening yield potential. Rabobank's latest forecast for Australia's 2012/13 wheat crop is 24.5 million tonne.

More like this

Export prices set to remain elevated

Horticultural prices are set to remain elevated this year, reflecting the balance between demand in key export markets and an increase in supply.

Afimilk appoints new general manager

Afimilk, a global dairy farm management solutions provider, has appointed Justin Miller as the new general manager for New Zealand and Australia.

Featured

Awards celebrate rural sports talent

At a gala evening held at Palmerston North in March, the sporting and rural communities came together to celebrate the Ford New Zealand Rural Sports Awards.

New CEO for FAR

The Foundation for Arable Research (FAR) has appointed Dr Scott Champion as its new chief executive.

New genetic tool for beef farmers

Beef + Lamb New Zealand (B+LNZ) has launched a powerful new tool to help commercial beef farmers select the best bulls for their farm businesses.

Bremworth CEO departs

Three weeks on from Bremworth’s board overhaul, the carpet maker’s chief executive Greg Smith is stepping down.

National

Machinery & Products

Buhler name to go

Shareholders at a special meeting have approved a proposed deal that will see Buhler Industries, the publicly traded Versatile and…

Grabbing bales made quick and easy

Front end loader and implement specialist Quicke has introduced the new Unigrip L+ and XL+ next-generation bale grabs, designed for…

» Latest Print Issues Online

The Hound

Risky business

OPINION: In the same way that even a stopped clock is right twice a day, economists sometimes get it right.

Should've waited

OPINION: The proposed RMA reforms took a while to drop but were well signaled after the election.

» Connect with Rural News

» eNewsletter

Subscribe to our weekly newsletter