Monday, 03 April 2023 09:57

Fonterra narrows forecast milk price range

Written by  Sudesh Kissun
Fonterra has lowered its forecast price range for the 2022/23 season. Fonterra has lowered its forecast price range for the 2022/23 season.

Weaker global dairy prices have forced Fonterra to further reduce its 2022/23 season forecast farmgate milk price range by 20c.

The co-operative’s new forecast price range is $8 to $8.60/kgMS, from $8.20 - $8.80/kgMS. This reduces the midpoint of the range by 20 cents from $8.50 to $8.30/kgMS.

Fonterra reduced its forecast milk price by 30c in February.

Fonterra chief executive Miles Hurrell says the latest change reflects short-term demand for products that inform the co-op’s farmgate milk price being softer than expected.

“Since our last update in February, prices for our products on Global Dairy Trade have either declined or remained flat.

“Skim milk powder prices have fallen 7% since February, and whole milk powder prices have not lifted to the levels assumed in the previous forecast.”

Hurrell says there are two main drivers behind this. The first is demand from China for whole milk powder has not yet returned to expected levels. The second is Northern Hemisphere milk production, and therefore skim milk powder stocks, are increasing as they head into their Spring flush.

“With these factors weighing on demand, prices have not increased to the levels required to sustain a higher forecast Farmgate Milk Price for this season,” he says.

“We recognise this change has an impact on our farmers’ businesses, at a time when many are facing increasing costs.

“To assist on-farm cash flow, we are adjusting the Advance Rate schedule, which is the proportion of the season’s farmgate milk price paid to farmers each month, to get cash to our farmers earlier. We have increased the March paid April payment and plan to hold payments at that level until June.

“We are able to do this because of the strength of the co-op’s balance sheet, which is further supported by our strong full year earnings forecast.”

More like this

Fonterra & Silver Fern Farms Launch Beef-on-Dairy Programme

As dairy farmers lock in plans for the upcoming mating season, a partnership between Fonterra and Silver Fern Farms has been formed with the aim of making it simpler to create additional value from calves not entering the replacement herd.

Featured

NZ Ploughing Champions' Gear Stuck at Sea Before Worlds

Ploughing champions Mark Dillon and Malcolm Taylor earned the right to represent the country at the World Ploughing Championships in Osijek, Croatia, on 5 and 6 September, after winning their titles at the New Zealand Ploughing Championships in Middlemarch in 2025.

National

Machinery & Products

» Latest Print Issues Online

Milking It

Common sense

OPINION: City and regional councils have been put on notice - stop using extreme climate forecasting scenarios that can drive…

Going Green

OPINION: The Green Party’s rivers and oceans policy may have a new name but nothing else has changed.

» Connect with Dairy News

» eNewsletter

Subscribe to our weekly newsletter