DairyNZ lifts breakeven milk price forecast to $8.68 for 2025/26 season
According to DairyNZ's latest Econ Tracker update, there has been a rise in the forecast breakeven milk price for the 2025/26 season.
A day of bad news for Fonterra farmers is ending on a high note – the co-operative is paying out $800 million today as capital return to shareholders.
In a statement to NZX, Fonterra confirmed that the capital return was implemented yesterday by way of a court-approved scheme of arrangement under Part 15 of the Companies Act 1993 (Scheme).
“Payments to shareholders are being processed today in accordance with the terms of the Scheme,” the co-op says.
The capital return has been funded by sale of co-op assets including its successful Soprole business in Chile.
Fonterra purchased one out of every six shares held by each shareholder for $3/share repurchased. This is equivalent to 50 cents for each of the six shares.
At the same time, one share held by each shareholder, which is not bought by Fonterra, will be subdivided so that each shareholder will end up holding the same total number of shares as they held before the repurchase.
The capital return provides some relief to Fonterra farmers, who this morning faced a second cut to the forecast milk price in two weeks.
In May Fonterra announced an opening 2023/24 season forecast Farmgate Milk Price range of $7.25 to $8.75/kgMS, with a midpoint of $8/kgMS.
Two weeks ago, it was forced to slash the mid-point by $1 to $7/kgMS. This morning it shaved another 25c of the mid-point.
The co-op says a slump in global dairy prices has forced the revision of the forecast milk price.
On Global Dairy Trade, dairy prices are now at their lowest point since late 2018, while WMP prices are at their lowest point since this time in 2016.
The Government has also come out today with its emissions pricing plan for the agriculture and the proposals have been roundly rejected by farmers.
The Government has shifted farm-level emissions reporting requirements into quarter 4 of 2024; emissions pricing won’t start until two years from now in quarter 4 of 2025.
Work will also get underway to allow scientifically validated forms of on-farm sequestration into the ETS, which can help reduce the cost to farmers.
DairyNZ says the agriculture emissions pricing plan released by the Government today is thoughtlessly timed and lacks the detail dairy farming needs for a viable solution.
DairyNZ chair Jim van der Poel says today’s outcome comes after a significant delay and does not reflect the progress the dairy sector has been seeking.
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