University of Waikato research reveals 2050 drought threats
New research could help farmers prepare for a future where summer rainfall is increasingly unpredictable and where drought risk is rising, no matter what.
“We’ve got to get every farmer through the winter and save as much stock as possible.”
That’s what chair of the Hawkes Bay Rural Advisory Group (RAG), Lochie MacGillivray, told Rural News.
MacGillivray’s been tasked with dispensing the recently established $1 million special mayoral and government fund set up to pay for transporting much-needed stock feed to the drought-stricken region.
For MacGillivray, involvement in the group is a voluntary position – his real job is working as a consultant for AgFirst. Before that he was a Wool Board director and also farmed in the region.
He says the group will not be buying feed because doing that would simply distort the market.
MacGillivray told Rural News that farmers will have to source their own feed and get it to their farms. Once that it is done, they can then apply to have the cost of transporting it there refunded by the RAG.
“We want to help as many people who are vulnerable and genuinely in need of help and do this quickly and simply,” he says.
MacGillivray says because the fund is capped at $1 million, he can’t be all things to all people. He points out that there are 3,000 farmers in the region and if the fund was distributed evenly, that would mean people would get just $350 each – which he says is nothing.
“My focus is on those who are in need. That’s my first principle.”
He says the scheme has got to operate on a high trust model because RAG doesn’t have time or resources to monitor what people do. But he says the community itself will act as a monitor.
“People in the community will quickly spot somebody who applies for feed and they have got grass growing out of their eyeballs or if they have got all their trading stock on and they have got dollars in the bank then applying for assistance with feed,” he explains. “Those individuals will have to hang their heads pretty low when they come to the school BBQ because everybody will know.”
MacGillivray says the assistance package will apply to farmers who have purchased and transported feed from the day the mayoral fund was established – which was May 19. He acknowledges this may cause some angst – especially from someone who bought in feed the day before or earlier – but says the line had to be drawn somewhere.
He also acknowledges that some farmers, who have planned well and bought feed early at considerable cost to themselves, may be upset that those who have not been so proactive and are being subsidised.
MacGillivray says he gets this philosophical argument, but the time to address this is when this event is over – not now.
He says those farmers in trouble now may not necessarily be bad farmers, but people for a variety of circumstances have been caught out by the severity of the drought.
“My view is we have to get everyone through this drought irrespective of their decisions of the past,” he says. “I don’t want lie to bed at night thinking that any of my actions could have cost someone their life.”
