Wednesday, 27 September 2023 09:55

Planning underway for potential big dry

Written by  Peter Burke
Land that turned to mud during Cyclone Gabrielle will be in danger of turning into concrete if the forecast drought comes. Land that turned to mud during Cyclone Gabrielle will be in danger of turning into concrete if the forecast drought comes.

Major players in the primary sector are mobilising ahead of predictions that the country is about to be hit by potentially one of the country's worst droughts. Peter Burke reports...

AgFirst consultant Lochie MacGillivray, based in Hawke's Bay, is spending a lot of his time looking at mechanisms farmers along the East Coast can use to manage a drought.

MacGillivray says some of the budgets he's seen have a 'lot of red ink'.

"This is because of lower commodity prices, on top of the cost of repairing damage on their farms caused by Cyclone Gabrielle and subsequent rain events."

He adds that there are massive problems in northern Hawke's Bay with infrastructure damage, some of which has been repaired, but in other cases not. MacGillivray says the temporary repairs will need to be fixed permanently at some stage.

"The hills are still moving, making it impossible to repair fences, which is leading to large mobs of sheep instead of the normal smaller ones," he told Rural News. "The other problem, which would normally be good news, is that the lambing percentage on many farms is very good with lots of triplets and survivability is high."

MacGillivray says at the moment, stock are probably not worth as much as they normally would be.

"With low returns and walkin into a windy, dry period it's going to get tough," he warns.

Lochie MacGillivray 5 FBTW

Lochie MacGillivray and the team at AgFirst are looking at getting plans in place early to deal with the drought when it arrives.

"The biggest issue is the added stress that this will put on farmers. They have come out of a horrible wet winter and are having a bit of reprieve, but it's drier under now and changing very quickly - so no wonder the financials are poor."

MacGillivray and the team at AgFirst are looking at getting plans in place early to deal with the drought when it arrives.

He's experienced these in the past and says farmers who plan well in advance and effectively micro-manage the plan cope well with the drought.

He adds that one farming couple set up a whiteboard and put all the decisions they had to make on this and set trigger points when these needed to be made.

"They had gazillions of decisions and in the end, it wasn't so much the big ones that mattered, but the smaller ones which added up to the big ones," MacGillivray told Rural News.

"Another farmer I know also had a whiteboard up and every day at lunchtime he updated it, and he came through the drought better than most."

MacGillivray says farmers should look for support and get outsiders in to help review their plans.

More like this

Drought looms

Farmers on the east coast of the North Island are facing a quandary as hot, dry weather and dropping soil moisture levels persist.

Haere Ra 2024: Te Matau-a-Māui, Hawke's Bay

Kate Radburnd has seen plenty of challenges in the Hawke's Bay wine industry during her 41-year wine career, including the destruction wrought by Cyclone Gabrielle in vintage 2023, and the resilience and recovery of the region in its wake.

Featured

Farmer input needed to combat FE

Beef + Lamb New Zealand (B+LNZ) is calling on livestock farmers to take part in a survey measuring the financial impact of facial eczema (FE).

Editorial: Escaping Trump's wrath

OPINION: President Donald Trump's bizarre hard line approach to the world of what was once 'rules-based trade' has got New Zealand government officials, politicians and exporters on tenterhooks.

Wool pellets to boost gardens

With wool prices steadily declining and shearing costs on the rise, a Waikato couple began looking for a solution for wool from their 80ha farm.

National

Machinery & Products

Alpego eyes electric power harrow

Distributed by OriginAg in New Zealand, Italian manufacturer Alpego recently showed its three metre Alysium electric power harrow at the…

New seed drill tech coming

Incorporating Vaderstad's latest seed drill technology, the Proceed V 24, is said to improve precision and increase planting efficiencies for…

» Latest Print Issues Online

The Hound

Waffle man

OPINION: Prime Minister Christopher Luxon sometimes can't escape his own corporate instinct for evasion, and in what should have been…

Banks on notice

OPINION: Shane 'Matua' Jones, crusader against all things woke, including "woke banks", couldn't have scripted it better when his NZ…

» Connect with Rural News

» eNewsletter

Subscribe to our weekly newsletter