University of Waikato research reveals 2050 drought threats
New research could help farmers prepare for a future where summer rainfall is increasingly unpredictable and where drought risk is rising, no matter what.
Gross domestic product (GDP) rose just 0.3% in the March 2013 quarter with effects of the drought kicking in.
And Statistics New Zealand says the drought will impact on the economy for several quarters.
Agriculture was down 4.7% due to dry weather in the quarter, which meant that dairy stock were dried off early resulting in lower milk production, says Statistics New Zealand.
"The impact of the drought showed up as expected, with lower milk production and higher slaughter numbers for the first three months of 2013," GDP project manager Jason Attewell says. "We expect the drought will impact on the economy for several quarters, as lower herd numbers and conception rates will affect future production."
The result follows a rise of 1.5% in the December 2012 quarter, and for year overall from March 2013, it was up 2.5%.
On the upside for the March quarter Canterbury rebuild boosted activity for construction and related services, says Attewell says. "The rest of the economy was a mixed bag, but we are coming off very strong growth in the previous quarter."
The largest movements by industry this quarter were:
• Business services (up 3.9%), driven by architectural and engineering services in Canterbury and Auckland. Activity related to the census, which was held in March 2013, is also included in this industry.
• Construction (up 5.5%), due to residential building and associated construction services activity in Canterbury.
Partly offsetting these increases were the drought and information media and telecommunications (down 3.1%), due to declines in call minutes between December and March.
The expenditure measure of GDP was also up 0.3% in the March 2013 quarter. The main features of this growth were:
• Household expenditure, which measures the volume of goods and services consumed by households, rose 0.4%. This has not fallen since the March 2009 quarter, and has grown 10.1% over that time.
• Investment in fixed assets rose 0.3%, with a rise in residential building partly offset by a fall in plant and machinery investment.
New Zealand’s trade with the European Union has jumped $2 billion since a free trade deal entered into force in May last year.
The climate of uncertainty and market fragmentation that currently characterises the global economy suggests that many of the European agricultural machinery manufacturers will be looking for new markets.
Dignitaries from all walks of life – the governor general, politicians past and present, Maoridom- including the Maori Queen, church leaders, the primary sector and family and friends packed Our Lady of Kapiti’s Catholic church in Paraparaumu on Thursday October 23 to pay tribute to former prime Minister, Jim Bolger who died last week.
Agriculture and Forestry Minister, Todd McClay is encouraging farmers, growers, and foresters not to take unnecessary risks, asking that they heed weather warnings today.
With nearly two million underutilised dairy calves born annually and the beef price outlook strong, New Zealand’s opportunity to build a scalable dairy-beef system is now.
Bank of New Zealand (BNZ) says it is backing aspiring dairy farmers through a new initiative designed to make the first step to farm ownership or sharemilking easier.

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