Tuesday, 19 May 2015 09:27

Dairy risk

Written by 
Graeme Wheeler, Reserve Bank. Graeme Wheeler, Reserve Bank.

The Reserve Bank says the outlook for global milk prices is highly uncertain and the financial stress on the dairy industry could rise markedly if prices remain at current low levels in the 2015-16 season.

In its latest Financial Stability Report, bank governor Graeme Wheeler lists dairy as one of three systemic risks facing the New Zealand economy. The others are the Auckland housing crisis and the current global financial conditions.

Wheeler says the dairy sector is experiencing a sharp fall in incomes due to lower international prices. Many highly leveraged farms are facing negative cashflows and the risks will become more pronounced if low milk prices persist beyond the current season.

The bank says while the situation in the China market may improve, the recent removal of milk quotas in Europe and the increase in US dairy exports are likely to weigh on prices. 

Wheeler says that if the lower dairy payout were to be sustained, “there is a risk that farm values could fall sharply and further exacerbate the increase in financial stress associated with lower farm incomes”.

More like this

Rabobank cuts loan rate

Rabobank New Zealand will reduce the variable base rate on its rural loans by 0.5%, effective from 16 October 2024.

T&G Global trims half-year losses

Food and vegetable grower and marketer T&G Global has trimmed its half-year losses compared to last year, as it makes progress delivering its strategy and continues to recover from the impact of Cyclone Gabrielle.

Featured

New Image turns 40!

Auckland manufacturer and distributor of colostrum-based supplements, New Image International, celebrated its 40th anniversary this month.

National

Winter grazing warning

Every time people from overseas see photographs of cows up to their hocks in mud it's bad for New Zealand.

ANZ defends farm lending rates

The country's largest lender to the agriculture sector says it's not favouring home loans over farm and business lending.

Machinery & Products

Expo set to wow again

Stellar speakers, top-notch trade sites, innovation, technology and connections are all on offer at the 2025 East Coast Farming Expo…

A year of global challenges

As a guest of the Italian Trade Association, Rural News Group Machinery Editor Mark Daniel took the opportunity to make…

» Latest Print Issues Online

The Hound

Review SOEs!

OPINION: NIWA has long weathered complaints about alleged stifling of competition in forecasting, and more recently, claims of lack of…

Bank reset

OPINION: Adding to calls to get banks to 'back off', NZ Agri Brokers director Andrew Laming has revealed that the…

» Connect with Rural News

» eNewsletter

Subscribe to our weekly newsletter