DairyNZ lifts breakeven milk price forecast to $8.68 for 2025/26 season
According to DairyNZ's latest Econ Tracker update, there has been a rise in the forecast breakeven milk price for the 2025/26 season.
State-owned farmer Landcorp will not be getting any new capital to spend on its farms, as the Government imposes on SOEs a more rigorous process for new investment.
Finance Minister Bill English told the DairyNZ Farmers Forum in Hamilton that Landcorp, a poor investment, was facing the same problem as other dairy farmers – low milk payout.
"It is dealing with a significant drop in earnings against a base of debt which will be a stretch to manage," English told 800 farmers.
"It's a low returning investment; we have a billion dollars tied up in that organisation and it pays taxpayers very little and in some years nothing, so it's a poor investment."
Landcorp is bracing for an $8 – $12 million loss this year, largely reflecting recent downward revisions to forecast milk payments.
Despite the loss, the Government is committed to retaining Landcorp, part of its $270 billion balance sheet.
English says in the past the Government was underequipped to understand the risks, but now has a "corporate treasurer" set of disciplines across the whole balance sheet.
"We now have a much more testing process for new investment, so Landcorp, for instance, will not get new capital. They wouldn't be able to put a proposal to meet our hurdle rate.... there aren't too many SOEs that can; it's all getting tighter.
"From here on Landcorp will be managed in normal farming style -- what you are used to."
And English warned that the Government won't hesitate to let go companies that come under financial pressure.
"The problem is that when an owner commits to keeping [a business] forever, it's difficult to crank performance out of it, so we have started the practice of letting go companies that come under financial pressure.
"When Learning Media and Solid Energy went broke we sold them; at the time we thought it may be controversial but it wasn't."
"So bankers, suppliers and managers of Government-owned agencies know if things go wrong they are out; that's the new policy."
English says Landcorp is adapting to the low milk payout in a similar way to everyone else.
"In the past Landcorp pushed itself pretty hard as a leading farming entity and invested fairly heavily to back that up; to be fair that's where a lot of dairy farmers went as well.
Now, when prices are down, Landcorp is adapting quickly; but in the end it is still a Government-owned entity."
English says previously SOEs felt no threat of going out of business because taxpayers would continue to fund them.
"Now they're under threat," he says.
OPINION: Ministry for Primary Industries' situation outlook for primary industries report (SOPI) makes impressive reading.
Sheep and beef farmers Matt and Kristin Churchward say using artificial intelligence (AI) to spread fertiliser on their sprawling 630ha farm is a game changer for their business.
Commercial fruit and vegetable growers are being encouraged to cast their votes in the Horticulture New Zealand (HortNZ) board directors' election.
A unique discovery by a Palmerston North science company, Biolumic, looks set to revolutionise the value and potential of ryegrass and the secret is the application of ultraviolet (UV) light.
A New Zealand company is redefining the global collagen game by turning New Zealand sheepskin into a world-class health product.
With further extreme weather on the way, ANZ Bank is encouraging farmers and business owners impacted by the recent extreme weather and flooding to seek support if they need it.
OPINION: Dust ups between rural media and PR types aren't unheard of but also aren't common, given part of the…
OPINION: The Hound hears from his canine pals in Southland that an individual's derogatory remarks on social media have left…