Friday, 19 December 2014 00:00

Beef buffers dairy doom

Written by 
Meat and wool exports expected to rise this season. Meat and wool exports expected to rise this season.

HIGHER SHEEP and beef prices seem set to buffer the drop in export earnings from dairying, according to the latest economic update from the Ministry for Primary Industries (MPI).

 Not surprisingly MPI is forecasting a 9.5% drop in total export earnings to $34.6 billion for the 2014-15 season, caused by a 23.5% drop in dairy exports. 

The report says meat and wool exports this season will rise by 6.4% to $8.611 billion and horticulture and seafood exports will rise, but forestry will drop. 

Global beef prices are expected to stay high for the next two years, offering an opportunity for farmers. Current high prices will enable farmers to invest in the quality of their herds to target higher value from each animal, says MPI. The retention of dairy calves offers another opportunity.

On the dairy side, MPI is forecasting a $4.82/kgMS farmgate payout – higher than Fonterra’s latest forecast and much higher than predicted by many analysts. There is talk of a payout about $4.40kgMS.

Looking a year ahead, MPI forecasts that primary exports in 2015-16 will be $36.1 billion – up 4.3% on this season. This is based on an improved performance in all sectors including dairying. 

More like this

A big win for wool!

State-owned social housing provider Kainga Ora is switching to wool carpet for its new homes.

Editorial: Making wool great again

OPINION: Otago farmer and NZ First MP Mark Patterson is humble about the role that he’s played in mandating government agencies to use wool wherever possible in new and refurbished buildings.

Featured

Top innovators announced

The Fieldays Innovation Award winners have been announced with Auckland’s Ruminant Biotech taking out the Prototype Award.

National

Machinery & Products

Calf feeding boost

Advantage Plastics says it is revolutionising calf meal storage and handling, making farm life easier, safer, and more efficient this…

JD's precision essentials

Farmers across New Zealand are renowned for their productivity and efficiency, always wanting to do more with less, while getting…

» Latest Print Issues Online

The Hound

Are they serious?

OPINION: The Greens aren’t serious people when it comes to the economy, so let’s not spend too much on their…

A hurry up!

OPINION: PM Chris Luxon is getting pinged lately for rolling out the old 'we're still a new government' line when…

» Connect with Rural News

» eNewsletter

Subscribe to our weekly newsletter