Friday, 30 October 2015 08:08

Creating certainty in an uncertain world

Written by  Brian Eccles
Brian Eccles, Cashmanager Rural. Brian Eccles, Cashmanager Rural.

In a volatile market there is never a better time to take financial stock of a business.

This new trading environment has dairy prices unpredictable, and borrowing to cover operating costs is inevitable for most dairy farmers. They will want to limit that exposure in future.

To keep overdrafts to a minimum over the next 12-24 months requires some big tactical decisions. Getting a financial snapshot of their business will help farmers do this by confronting the new environment with clarity.

Until now, making incremental changes to make farms highly efficient has been the main focus. But right now producing as much milk as the vat can hold is not a priority.

Today farmers need to think about making big changes to their business. Chiefly this will be reducing direct costs of production. And because a great thing about farming is that all direct costs are very elastic, changing a few important metrics can affect marginal returns greatly.

In the past farmers had to make 'gut' calls when changing their business systems. But with the advent of the cloud and modelling software they can take charge of their own financial future. Software systems today enable farmers to put in their own data and rationally draw a conclusion from viable alternatives.

This is called financial modelling. In an uncertain environment it gives farmers comfort that a dramatic change to their business financially could be a step in the right direction. The effect of any change can be calculated on the bottom line, which creates more certainty than would otherwise be achievable.

It can be greatly rewarding to sit in the office and play around with 'what if' scenarios. This empowers dairy farmers and reduces the stress caused by the uncontrollable -- The Price of Milk.

The approach to solving a big problem is to break it down into little problems. Right now, all the little things with a dollar sign next to them are important. That doesn't mean you need to swing to not spending money at all. All that does is create fear and uncertainty and restrict your business. However, if you look after your cashflow then profit will look after itself.

Dairy farmers have a myriad options to consider and/or advice from external parties. No set recipe works for all farms. But farmers are extremely good at navigating their way through options if they can look at their effects on their bottom line. Financial modelling makes that happen.

Farmers have nothing to lose in taking financial stock of their business. And if, after looking at all the different options, they are still unsure they can always get external advice. A problem shared in this industry is a problem solved.

More like this

Keeping a watch on dairy farms

OPINION: Dairy farmers are under increasing pressure to safeguard their livestock, equipment and operations from a range of security threats.

The basics of grazing

OPINION: When I left school in 1962, I worked on our family farm at Tikokino, but learning about farming wasn't a priority at the time because I had other distractions on my mind, such as fast cars and hot girls.

NZ dairy industry needs FTAs quickly

OPINION: New Zealand's dairy exports have been the backbone of the country's economy for several decades, and exports remain buoyant despite pandemic-era disruptions and impending downturns in East Asia in the next few years.

Featured

AgriSIMA 2026 Paris machinery show cancelled

With the current situation in the European farm machinery market being described as difficult at best, it’s perhaps no surprise that the upcoming AgriSIMA 2026 agricultural machinery exhibition, scheduled for February 2026 at Paris-Nord Villepinte, has been cancelled.

NZ tractor sales show signs of recovery – TAMA

As we move into the 2025/26 growing season, the Tractor and Machinery Association (TAMA) reports that the third quarter results for the year to date is showing that the stagnated tractor market of the last 18 months is showing signs of recovery.

National

Machinery & Products

New pick-up for Reiter R10 merger

Building on experience gained during 10 years of making mergers/ windrowers, Austrian company Reiter has announced the secondgeneration pick-up on…

Krone EasyCut B1250 fold

In 2024, German manufacturer Krone introduced the F400 Fold, a 4m wide disc front mower, featuring end modules that hinge…

» Latest Print Issues Online

Milking It

Microplastics problem

OPINION: Microplastics are turning up just about everywhere in the global food supply, including in fish, cups of tea, and…

Job cuts

OPINION: At a time when dairy prices are at record highs, no one was expecting the world's second largest dairy…

» Connect with Dairy News

» eNewsletter

Subscribe to our weekly newsletter