Record $10/kgMS milk price forecast means extra cash for Fonterra farmers
A record $10/kgMS opening forecast milk price for the new season means more money into Fonterra farmers pockets early, says Federated Farmers dairy chair Richard McIntyre.
A BIG drop in the milksolids price has left many farmers wondering how they can make a profit – or at least minimise their loss – in what promises to be a financially challenging season.
Profit is the difference between income and costs. There are essentially three ways to increase profit: increase income, decrease costs or do a combination of both.
Cutting costs which do not affect production (e.g. deferring the purchase of a new ute) will automatically improve profitability, however the reality is that many farm costs (e.g. depreciation and labour) are semi-fixed. Reducing inputs such as feed, fertiliser or animal health is likely to have some impact on production, either now or in future seasons. This is where budget slashing gets a whole lot trickier.
In a paper titled ‘Smarter spending for a low payout’ presented at a recent Southland Demo Farm field day, Howard de Klerk (Dairy Nutrition and Management Solutions) shows that the biggest cost to the average NZ farmer is interest (Table 1).
De Klerk points out that while it is not included in farm working expenses, and therefore the net profit per hectare, interest has a major impact on the amount of cash the farm generates. Changing production per cow will not alter interest (assuming no extra shares are required or sold), but as production rises, interest per kgMS drops. Diluting interest costs by keeping production up is important, especially for farms with higher debt loadings.
The key, according to De Klerk, is to find the level of production where operating costs are controlled, but the farm is producing enough milk to dilute interest and other semi-fixed costs. At this ‘sweet spot’ profit is maximised; production below this level is not optimum and production above this level is simply buying production.
So what are the keys to farming profitably in a low payout year?
Good farm management practices should apply whether the payout is low or at record levels. The key difference is that in a high payout year you can make more mistakes and still be profitable. Three things to consider are:
Reduce costs carefully
Before cutting any input ask yourself, what will be the impact on production, and will the saving outweigh any potential loss in income? Reducing feed input usually reduces milk output. Be realistic about how much supplementary feed you need. Don’t assume you can make it through with a lot less than previous seasons unless you can see realistic opportunities to increase pasture and/or supplement utilisation, or are happy to accept a drop in production.
Make sure your comparative stocking rate (CSR) is in the correct range.
DairyNZ recommends a CSR around 80 to maximise profit. This means that for every tonne of feed offered there should be about 80kg of cow liveweight to eat it. See http://www.dairynz.co.nz/feed/feed-management-tools/comparative-stocking-rate/ to calculate your CSR.
Purchase supplements wisely and use them strategically.
The main aim of feeding supplements is to fill feed gaps, and therefore produce more milk. It will always be uneconomic to feed supplements and waste pasture, or to waste supplements. Think about what you are trying to achieve with your feed, and compare bought-in supplements on a c/MJME basis. Look for opportunities to reduce your supplementary feed spend by switching to a higher proportion of lower cost, home-grown supplements such as maize silage.
As de Klerk points out, profit will already be down this season due to the lower milk price.
Reducing production could reduce profit even further so think carefully before you make any decision to cut costs which will drastically affect your production.
For a full copy of ‘Smarter spending for a low payout’ visit http://www.siddc.org.nz/assets/Stlh-Demo-Farm-Focus-Days/Handout-Focus-Day-Oct14-2.pdf.
• Ian Williams is a Pioneer forage specialist. Contact him at This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
As the cost-of-living crisis continues to put pressure on household grocery budgets, new figures show pork remains one of the most affordable fresh meat options for New Zealand families.
OPINION: In politics, credibility is and should be big. It must surely rank higher than charisma, which is quite trite and superficial. Yet, voters nowadays are often wooed and influenced by how someone looks or talks at a superficial level. TV plays a huge role in this.
Farmers can spend less time on paperwork, thanks to a new data sharing agreement between DairyNZ’s DairyBase and LIC’s MINDA software.
Kaikōura families affected by July's severe storm have found a practical solution to a problem that's kept some children away from regular schooling for weeks: a washed-out section of Inland Kaikōura Road, which has stopped the local school bus from running its usual route.
Rural New Zealand is welcoming the Government’s recent package of rural healthcare initiatives.
Interest in agritech and production animal systems has prompted Massey University's School of Agriculture and the Environment to new majors to its popular animal science degree.
OPINION: After hogging the media limelight for telling a NZ Chinese MP to "go back home", Winston Peters has decided…
OPINION: With fuel prices soaring, one would have expected most farmers to be reclaiming excise duty on petrol.