DairyNZ lifts breakeven milk price forecast to $8.68 for 2025/26 season
According to DairyNZ's latest Econ Tracker update, there has been a rise in the forecast breakeven milk price for the 2025/26 season.
Simply keeping stock out of waterways arguably gives the “best bang for your buck” for water quality improvements, says DairyNZ Environment and catchment manager Aslan Wright-Stow.
Speaking to the recent New Zealand Institute of Primary Industry Management (NZIPIM) conference in Christchurch, Wright-Stow said there is no doubt that land use affects water quality.
It is not uncommon or surprising to find waterways in a pastoral landscape with up to 15 times more E. coli and 10 times more nutrients than in a forestry landscape.
“The biggest single predictor of water quality outcomes in a particular catchment is the proportion of upstream land use.”
Wright-Stow said farmers have two broad options to reduce contaminant losses.
First, changing the farm system itself, such as through feed pads and reducing stock numbers and fertiliser application.
Second – the subject of his conference presentation – is what he calls edge-of-field mitigations designed to intercept contaminants before they enter waterways.
Farmers can take various practical steps, he said, but simply excluding stock from waterways is very cost effective. It can reduce phosphorus by 20-40%, sediment by 40-60% and E. coli by 50-60%.
Riparian buffers (setting a fence back with planting or simply grass buffers) would take stock exclusion to the next level.
There is “a good amount of science” suggesting that grass buffers on their own are hugely beneficial, he said.
“You’re adding layers and layers of complexity through those flow paths and the more complexity you’ve got, the more you slow down the water, and the more chances you’ve got for interactions with biological processes.”
Both international and NZ science suggests that 3-5 m wide rank grass buffers can reduce nitrogen, phosphorus and sediment by 50-70%. The wider the better, particularly for dissolved nutrients, but with diminishing returns beyond 5-10 m, he said.
Wright-Stow said planted buffers give extra benefits including aesthetics and habitat biodiversity.
DairyNZ is doing “a whole bunch of work” on optimising buffer design. A farmer could get 6-7 times better result for the same effort, fencing and planting by changing the buffer width to focus on the critical source areas.
“The easiest way to define where these are is to walk around the farm when it’s raining. You’ll see where they are, they provide a disproportionate amount of overland flows.”
Wright-Stow said a recent review by NIWA for DairyNZ said wetlands -- engineered or natural -- could reduce nitrate concentrations and load by 51-98%.
“And they’re very very simple to do.”
A farmer could get a strong return on investment just by fencing a natural wetland.
A wetland that’s about 2.5% of a catchment area could reduce nitrate by 40%, and a wetland about 5% of its catchment area could reduce it by 60%, he said.
Another method is bunds (small dams). They work well in rolling and undulating land and lighter soils, although farmers could run into consenting issues if trying to raise too high a dam in steeper country.
During rain, the bund would capture and slow overland flow and allow contaminants to settle. The farmer would pull the plug after about three days to return it to pasture.
DairyNZ is also investigating two-stage channels – drainage streams with artificially created “flood plains” either side of the deeper main channel, so that when the water level rises in rain it spreads out over the sides, and slows and allows particulates to settle.
Wright-Stow says more and more complex systems are becoming available, eg engineered nitrogen or phosphate filters and bioreactors, but the desired outcome needs keeping in mind.
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