Thursday, 28 January 2016 09:15

Fonterra revises forecast payout

Written by 
Chief executive Theo Spierings says while global demand remained sluggish, Fonterra supports the general view that dairy prices will improve later this calendar year. Chief executive Theo Spierings says while global demand remained sluggish, Fonterra supports the general view that dairy prices will improve later this calendar year.

Fonterra has dropped its forecast farmgate milk price for the 2015-16 season by 45c to $4.15/kgMS.

When combined with the earnings per share range of 45-55 cents, this means a total available for payout of $4.60-$4.70/kgMS and would currently equate to a forecast cash payout of $4.50-$4.55/kgMS to our farmers after retentions.

Chairman John Wilson says global economic conditions continue to be challenging and are impacting demand for a range of commodities, including dairy.

"Key factors driving dairy demand are declining international oil prices which have weakened the spending power of countries reliant on oil revenues, economic uncertainty in developing economies and a slow recovery of dairy imports into China. In addition, the Russian ban on European Union dairy imports continues to push more product on to the world market.

"There is still an imbalance between supply and demand which continues to put pressure on global milk prices. Since last September, prices on GlobalDairyTrade for whole milk powder have fallen 12%, and skim milk powder prices are down 8%.

"Although New Zealand farmers have responded to lower global prices by reducing supply, that has yet to happen in other regions, including Europe, where milk volumes have continued to increase.

Chief executive Theo Spierings says while global demand remained sluggish, Fonterra supports the general view that dairy prices will improve later this calendar year.

"However the time frame for supply and demand rebalancing has moved further out and largely depends on a downward correction in EU supply in response to the lower global prices. These prices are clearly unsustainably low for farmers globally and cannot continue in the longer term.

"It is important to state that despite the current challenges, we have confidence long-term international dairy demand will continue its expansion due to a growing world population, increasing middle classes in Asia, urbanisation and favourable demographics.

"While a unique series of global issues are impacting the forecast Milk Price, the business is performing well, as outlined in our business update in November, and is on track to generate improved dividend returns. Fonterra has remained focused on reducing costs, increasing efficiencies and shifting more milk into higher value products," says Spierings.

Wilson says, "The reduction in the forecast Farmgate Milk Price will be very tough on our farmers. As we confirm the co-op's performance for the first half of the financial year, we will look at the best way to help our farmers' cash flows, underpinned by the expected improvement in dividend returns and the financial strength of the co-operative.

"We will continue to keep our farmers updated as the season progresses," says Wilson.

More like this

Entitled much?

OPINION: For the last few weeks, we've witnessed a parade of complaints about New Zealand's school lunch program: 'It's arriving late.' 'The portions are wrong.' 'I wanted caviar.'

Fonterra mulls options - sale or IPO

An outright sale of Fonterra’s global consumer business is more likely than a float, says Forsyth Barr senior analyst equities, Matt Montgomerie.

Fonterra updates earnings

Fonterra says its earnings for the 2025 financial year are anticipated to be in the upper half of its previously forecast earnings range of 40-60 cents per share.

Featured

Farmers seeking end to riverbed litigation

Landowners with farms bordering the Hoteo River, north of Auckland, are hopeful their pressure will influence the outcome of two applications by local iwi relating to ownership of the riverbed.

Youngest contestant proves age is no barrier

A Massey University student has inched closer to national victory after being crowned Taranaki-Manawatu's top young farmer, despite being the youngest competitor in the field.

New CEO for Safer Farms

Safer Farms, the industry-led organisation dedicated to fostering a safer farming culture, has appointed Brett Barnham as its new chief executive.

National

Certainty welcomed

There's been very little reaction to the government science reform announcement, with many saying the devil will be in the…

Science 'deserves more funding'

A committee which carried out the review into New Zealand's science system says the underinvestment will continue to compromise the…

Machinery & Products

Landpower win global award

Christchurch-headquartered Landpower and its Claas Harvest Centre dealerships has taken out the Global After Sales Excellence award in Germany, during…

Innovation, new products galore

It has been a year of new products and innovation at Numedic, the Rotorua-based manufacturer and exporter of farm dairy…

» Latest Print Issues Online

Milking It

No buyers

OPINION: Australian dairy is bracing for the retirement of an iconic dairy brand.

RIP Kitkat V

OPINION: Another sign that the plant-based dairy fallacy is unravelling and that nothing beats dairy-based products.

» Connect with Dairy News

» eNewsletter

Subscribe to our weekly newsletter