Friday, 24 February 2023 08:47

Fonterra revises forecast milk price

Written by 

Softening global demand for milk has led Fonterra to downgrade its 2022-23 forecast milk price.


The co-operative today announced a new forecast milk price range of $8.20 to $8.80/kgMS, with a midpoint of $8.50/kgMS.


Its previous forecast price ranged from $8.50 to $9.50/kgMS, with a midpoint of $9.


Fonterra chief executive Miles Hurrell says the revised forecast milk price range reflects softened demand at a time of balanced supply.


“Demand for whole milk powder, particularly from Greater China, has been soft with prices down around 5% since the beginning of December,” he says.


“While we are encouraged by recent increased buying behaviour from China, it is too soon to determine the extent of the impact this may have on the rest of the season.


“We also remain cautious given a soft economic growth outlook in many regions globally.”


The co-op has also revised its milk collection for the season to 1,465 million kgMS, down from its previous forecast of 1,480 million kgMS.


While Fonterra’s collections for the season are up on this time last year, Cyclone Gabrielle and dry conditions in the South Island have impacted the co-op’s full season expectations.


“Globally, milk supply from key exporting regions is balanced,” says Hurrell.


“Production from Europe and the US is up on last year, but this is partly offset by lower collections in New Zealand, Australia and Latin America.


“The medium to long term outlook for dairy, in particular New Zealand dairy, looks positive. We are assessing our position for next season and will provide our opening forecast in May,” says Hurrell.

 

More like this

$10.25/kgMS milk price now in play

A significant rise in Global Dairy Trade (GDT) auction last week has prompted one bank to lift its forecast milk price for the season to above Fonterra's mid-point.

Ready to walk the talk

DairyNZ's Kirsty Verhoek ‘walks the talk’, balancing her interests in animal welfare, agricultural science and innovative dairy farming.

Featured

‘Nanobubble’ trial trims irrigation water usage

North Canterbury dairy farmer and recently-elected deputy chair of DairyNZ, Cameron Henderson, is enjoying a huge reduction in irrigation water use after converting a pivot irrigator to drag perforated drip tubes across the ground instead of elevated sprinkler heads.

Editorial: Elusive India FTA

OPINION: Without doubt, a priority of the Government this year will be to gain traction on the elusive free trade deal with India.

Sport star to talk at expo

Rugby league legend Tawera Nikau is set to inspire, celebrate and entertain at the East Coast Farming Expo's very popular Property Broker's Evening Muster.

National

Machinery & Products

Kuhn bags tech award

French company KUHN has won a EIMA Technical Innovation Award for its Baler Automation Technology.

Telescopic front-end loader

An interesting concept emerged at the recent EIMA show in Italy, where Italian company Aries - a front linkage manufacturer -…

AI-powered robotic feed pusher

While most New Zealand farmers operate with animals at pasture all year round, unlike their European counterparts, several operations in…

» Latest Print Issues Online

Milking It

'Bee wear' Simeon

OPINION: A keen pair of eyes wandering down the main street of the hub of the Horowhenua, Levin recently came…

» Connect with Dairy News

» eNewsletter

Subscribe to our weekly newsletter