Fonterra slashes forecast milk price, again
Fonterra has slashed another 50c off its milk price forecast as global milk flows shows no sign of easing.
The forecast farmgate milk price has been maintained at $4.25/kgMS, making the total payout available to farmers in the 2016/17 season $4.75 to $4.85.
Chairman John Wilson says the solid forecast earnings per share range reflects performance improvements across the business and would be welcomed by farmers. However, with the farmgate milk price forecast remaining at $4.25/kgMS, it is another financially challenging season for farmers.
"The cooperative is aware of how tough the situation on farm remains," Wilsons says.
"We are focused on delivering as much cash as possible to our farmers by bringing payments forward while maintaining a strong balance sheet. This forecast is our best estimate at this early stage of the season. We will continue to update our farmers as we move through the season."
Wilson says the $4.25 farmgate milk price reflects the continuing global uncertainty and the high NZD/USD exchange rate which continues to impact the competiveness of New Zealand dairy exports.
"The recent weakening of the Euro, combined with the continued strength of the New Zealand dollar, has meant a price advantage for European export dairy products," he says.
"We expect global milk supply and demand to come into balance over the course of this season. Farmers globally are producing less milk in response to lower prices and we are forecasting a 3% reduction in our New Zealand milk collection for this season."
Chief executive Theo Spierings says the returns from the ingredients, consumer and foodservice businesses continue to grow in-line with Fonterra's business strategy to convert more milk into higher returning products.
"We are seeing the benefits of our investments in manufacturing over recent years," Spirings says. "We now have more flexibility to make the right products at the least cost, delivering better returns for our farmers' milk.
"Our good progress in continuing to increase value through our consumer and foodservice businesses, particularly in important markets such as China, Malaysia, Indonesia, Sri Lanka, Oceania and Latin America, is reflected in the lift in the earnings per share forecast.
"Constantly improving the performance of our business is an absolute priority and puts us in a strong position to create more value for our farmers. We are generating significant improvements and cash benefits through our ongoing business transformation that contribute to both our farmgate milk price and our earnings."
