Thursday, 25 September 2014 09:35

Farmers told to reassess costs

Written by 

DairyNZ says the latest drop in Fonterra's forecast farmgate milk price for the 2014-15 season is a signal to farmers to reassess the costs of their farm system.


DairyNZ's general manager of research and development, David McCall, says most farmers should cope with lower prices this season, provided another drought doesn't hit the country. However, around a quarter of the country's farmers, those with a lot of debt, may have difficulty meeting their farm working expenses and interest payments.


"Our real concern is maintaining profitability across the industry if milk prices remain low for the 2015-16 season," he says.


Fonterra has reduced its forecast farmgate milk price for the 2014-15 season from $6.00 to $5.30/kgMS. It also increased and widened the estimated dividend range from 20-25 cents per share to 25-35 cents – amounting to a forecast cash payout of $5.55-$5.65 for the current season.


The co-op also announced a final payout of $8.50/kgMS (comprising milk price of $8.40/kgMS and dividend of 10c/share) for last season.


McCall says last season's high milk prices will deliver a significant deferred payment to farmers into the 2014-15 season, which will bolster low milk prices this season.


"We expect farmers to make a determined effort to control farm working expenses this season, with an average budgeted reduction in farm working expenses of around 40c/kgMS to $4/kgMS. That will affect regional economies and communities the most. We estimate just over a $1 billion loss of income for farmers based on comparisons with the 2013-14 season's production," he says.


"Our surveys show that farmers will reduce their spending on bought-in supplementary feed, fertiliser and repairs and maintenance, which all increased in 2013-14."
McCall says the focus for DairyNZ isn't just about getting farmers through this season.


"We will be urging them to think about the next five years – are they running profitable farming systems that can survive fluctuating long-term trends in payout?


"Our analysis shows we are just within the long-term bounds of the trends for average dairy company total payouts – and if you can't survive those, then you need to look at your farm system and what to change.


"We know there are dairy farmers who operate low-cost farming systems that are able to make a profit with a $5 farmgate milk price. There are lessons from their experience for our industry.

More like this

Keeping a watch on dairy farms

OPINION: Dairy farmers are under increasing pressure to safeguard their livestock, equipment and operations from a range of security threats.

Inconvenient truth

OPINION: You would've missed this one if you rely on mainstream media for your news, but your old mate reckons credit should go where credit's due: Emissions by dairy cattle decreased by 1.6% according to the latest NZ Greenhouse Gas Inventory report.

Featured

Case IH partners with Meet the Need

Tractor manufacturer and distributor Case IH has announced a new partnership with Meet the Need, the grassroots, farmer-led charity working to tackle food insecurity across New Zealand one meal at a time.

25 years on - where are they now?

To celebrate 25 years of the Hugh Williams Memorial Scholarship, Ravensdown caught up with past recipients to see where their careers have taken them, and what the future holds for the industry.

Rockit Global appoints COO

Rockit Global has appointed Ivan Angland as its new chief operating officer as it continues its growth strategy into 2025.

National

Top ag scientist to advise PM

A highly experienced agricultural scientist with specialist knowledge of the dairy sector is the Prime Minister's new Chief Science Advisor.

Machinery & Products

Hose runner saves time and effort

Rakaia-based equipment manufacturer Pluck’s Engineering will soon start production of a new machine designed to simplify the deployment and retrieval…

» Latest Print Issues Online

Milking It

Science fiction

OPINION: Last week's announcement of Prime Minister’s new Science and Technology Advisory Council hasn’t gone down too well in the…

Bye bye Paris?

OPINION: At its recent annual general meeting, Federated Farmers’ Auckland province called for New Zealand to withdraw from the Paris…

» Connect with Dairy News

» eNewsletter

Subscribe to our weekly newsletter