NZ Milk Price Could Hit $10/kgMS as Global Supply Eases
A 'tsunami' of milk from key exporting countries is winding down and this may be good news for New Zealand dairy farmers.
The overnight Global Dairy Trade auction saw the price index fall by 0.8% compared to the previous event.
New Zealand dairy prices are “still hanging in there,” relatively speaking, says US-based RaboResearch dairy analyst Tom Bailey.
The overnight Global Dairy Trade auction saw the price index fall by a slim 0.8% compared to the previous event.
Total volumes sold were 20% lower, aligned to seasonal declines, and broad expectations. Both WMP and SMP prices increased, 0.1% versus the last event. Prices for butter and AMF took a hit, down 5.8% and 2.4%, respectively.
Bailey says diving into the numbers, at first blush there is not a big story to tell.
“Offer volumes were largely unchanged for core products WMP and SMP.
“There was an increase in butter and AMF volumes, 42% and 3.5% respectively – helping to explain their price falls.”
Key results
AMF index down 2.4%, average price US$3,973/MT
Butter index down 5.8%, average price US$3,867/MT
Ched index down 6.8%, average price US$4,115/MT
LAC index up 7.9%, average price US$1,153/MT
RenCas index down 5.1%, average price US$8,891/MT
SMP index up 0.1%, average price US$2,373/MT
WMP index up 0.1%, average price US$2,745/MT
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