Red Meat Sector Experiences Record Returns in 2025/26 Season
The red meat sector finds itself in "a very rare set of circumstances", says Federated Farmers meat and wool industry chair Richard Dawkins.
The US currency will determine how the milk payout plays out, says BNZ senior economist Doug Steel.
He told Rural News that, in some ways, the recent GDT price strength looks like catch up due to the recent declines in the US dollar.
A lower US dollar tends to lift product prices that are denominated in that currency.
“Of course, the flipside of a lower US dollar is a higher NZ dollar, while a higher NZ dollar – in itself – tends to put downward pressure on milk price, it very much needs to be seen in the context of product price movements in offshore markets.
“These things do not move in isolation. It is the balance that matters.”
Steel points out that it was no coincidence that the 2013-14 record $8.40 milk price was paid when the NZD/USD was above 0.80.
“That said, a higher NZD/USD will limit the upside to domestic milk prices, but likely more so for next season than the current one.”
In advance of the Budget, Finance Minister Nicola Willis put a clear damper on expectations and delivered accordingly.
Farmers should be cautiously optimistic as the 2026/27 season kicks off, says DairyNZ.
RaboResearch senior analyst Emma Higgins expects the 2026/27 dairy season to be another profitable one.
The new dairy season is kicking off with plenty of risks to the forecast farmgate price, both upside and downside, says ANZ agricultural economist Matt Dilly.
A potential showdown between the top two Federated Farmers leaders looms at the farmer lobby's annual meeting later this month.
FarmIQ Systems has developed a free land management app to help remove barriers to New Zealand farmers and growers adopting digital tools.

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