Tuesday, 27 January 2026 07:55

India FTA timed right for NZ, says trade analyst

Written by  Peter Burke
Stephen Jacobi Stephen Jacobi

Leading trade analyst Stephen Jacobi has rubbished claims that New Zealand could have got a better free trade deal with India if it had prolonged the negotiations.

He told Rural News that NZ had a window to get this deal now and that if we hadn’t taken it, the next opportunity could have been years away, with no guarantee of a better deal.

He says he was a bit critical at the time the EU deal was announced and thought that maybe it was concluded a bit early.

“But this one is a different kettle of fish, and the scale of this opportunity cannot be underestimated.

“The present agreement is very advantageous, especially for some sectors like sheepmeat, and that is a very big gain. Also, kiwifruit and apples, although the tariffs are still quite high for fruit over the tariff quota, but I understand that both industries are quite happy with that,” he says.

Jacobi says while the deal wasn’t so good for dairy, that sector wasn’t completely excluded, with some higher value dairy product included. He says there was also an undertaking to at least reexamine some of the dairy tariff issues with India. He says there is understandable disappointment within the dairy industry.

“But India wasn’t going to budge on that. India’s dairy production cannot meet all the needs of its population, so over time maybe something will change, but this is not going to happen in the immediate future,” he says.


Read More:


Jacobi says the high tariffs on NZ wine are likely to remain until India concludes an FTA with the EU, then some deal with NZ may be done.

He says the FTA must be seen in the context of a very disruptive international environment and it was simply not possible to get the sort of gains that we had earlier, for example with China or even the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP).

He says the new FTA gives NZ a unique opportunity now to develop its relationship with India.

“This is the third time we have tried to get a deal with India and so I totally understand the Government’s decision to take it. Of course, this doesn’t mean it’s magically going to be a success overnight, because tariffs are still quite high on several items; it’s going to take a long time for it to get going. But it has given us quite a good base to develop this economic relationship,” he says.

More like this

Where is Luxon?

OPINION: Why can't Christopher Luxon stand up to Winston Peters over the latter’s high-profile attack on the proposed Indian FTA?

From the CEO: Trade rules

Trade is important to our industry, whether it’s because 90% of our wine sales are in international markets, because of the international tourists who spend money at our cellar doors, or because of the equipment we source from overseas to operate our wineries and vineyards.

FTA woes

OPINION: Another example of the dairy sector getting shortchanged in free trade deals?

Featured

National

Machinery & Products

» Latest Print Issues Online

The Hound

Bulldust!

OPINION: Here w go: the election date is set for November 7 and the politicians are out of the gate…

No good news?

OPINION: ECan data was released a few days ago showing Canterbury farmers have made “giant strides on environmental performance”.

» Connect with Rural News

» eNewsletter

Subscribe to our weekly newsletter