Government policies threaten NZ’s 2030 export goals, farmers warn
The Government is being warned that some recent bad policy decisions are undermining its target of doubling exports by 2030.
Beef + Lamb New Zealand (B+LNZ) commissioned the International emissions trading schemes and forestry report to explore the relationship between emissions pricing and forestry in other countries.
The study focuses on how other countries use ‘offsets’ within an Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) as they transition to using less fossil fuels.
A key finding was that New Zealand and Kazakhstan are the only countries that allow 100% offsetting in their carbon pricing mechanism.
While Kazakhstan theoretically allows 100% offsetting, individual companies must apply to offset on a project by project basis and no instances of forestry offsetting happening in practice could be found.
Because New Zealand allows for 100% offsetting and full participation of forests in the NZ ETS, the carbon market and forestry sectors are intricately linked with each having the ability to vastly impact the other.
The European Union and the UK do not allow carbon offsetting in their ETS, while China, South Korea, and US states Washington, North Carolina and California allow for below five percent.
Meanwhile, Mexico and Taiwan, along with Canadian province Quebec, allow for 10 percent and other areas like Tokyo permit up to 33 percent offsetting.
While other countries enforce strict limits and requirements to ensure offsets deliver a variety of benefits, New Zealand has no set targets to reduce emissions from fossil fuel use or any limits on how much offsetting can happen through the ETS to meet climate change targets.
This means there are no limits on how much land can be converted into forestry to create carbon credits for sale.
B+LNZ chief executive Sam McIvor says using forestry to offset fossil fuel emissions is a short-term fix creating long-term problems.
“We are not anti-forestry and there is a place for some carbon offsetting, but we are very concerned about the volume of carbon offsetting.
“Some limits are needed to slow the rapidly increasing amount of sheep and beef farmland being purchased for forestry conversion as a result of the increasing carbon price.
“Multiple schemes internationally have managed the risks posed by carbon forests by limiting their use in carbon markets, requiring additional social benefits to be demonstrated along with emissions removals, and seeking Ministerial approval for exotic forest projects, among other actions.
“New Zealand’s lack of conditions mean fossil fuel polluters can keep avoiding the need to cut back on fossil fuel use and instead offset their pollution by using carbon credits generated on our farms through the wholesale planting of pine trees.”
McIvor says sheep and beef farm purchases have risen from 7,000 hectares in 2017 to 52,000 hectares in 2021 (for a total of 175,000 hectares over the five-year period).
“We estimate this equates to one million less stock units, 1,600 fewer jobs a year, $170 million less spent in communities annually and $245 million less in export revenue annually,” he says.
Environmental groups, the Parliamentary Commissioner for the Environment and the Climate Change Commission have all recently called for limits on forestry.
McIvor says farmers can also be part of the solution by planting the exotic and native trees needed, but they must receive greater recognition for the carbon removals on their farms.
“We believe much of New Zealand’s need for sequestration from forest offsets could come from the integration of trees on sheep and beef farms. This allows food production to continue, maintains rural employment and ensures export revenue,” he says.
There is also significant Māori agribusiness interest in forestry and carbon farming.
“It’s important that any potential changes to the NZ ETS are made in partnership with key stakeholders and industry groups like B+LNZ as well as Māori landowners and iwi or hapū.”
