$10 milk price still in sight despite global dairy markets softening
A $10 milk price remains on the cards for this season despite recent softening of global dairy prices.
Long time between drinks: Sheep graze dry pasture a few kilometres west of Christchurch Airport in early December, on the day the airport weather station recorded its 46th consecutive day of no rain, bettering a record set in 1954.
The threat of a big drought is prompting Westpac to contact its farmer clients to see what help they may need.
Andrew Hill, senior manager of risk and strategy for agribusiness, says the bank is talking to farmers and their families who are under stress, to see what the bank can do now to help them personally, and to buy extra feed if needed.
“We will be… asking what contingency plans they have made,” he told Rural News.
“We are starting to hear about people talking about once-a-day milking and starting to look after their better-performing cows to try to maintain production and make sure cows recently mated don’t lose their calves.”
Hill says farmers early-on have been using surplus cash to repay debt. But he acknowledges that with the likely lower dairy payout less cash will be around and farmers must manage this well.
Meanwhile, Agriculture Minister Damien O’Connor says the ongoing dry is forcing hard decisions on more farmers and horticulturalists. Recent rains were insufficient; MPI is watching this and regularly updating him.
“Government acknowledges we are facing climate change,” he says. “Now all primary sectors must build more resilient systems to deal with the changes in climate that we have experienced in the last few years.”
O’Connor says on his own patch, the West Coast, the lack of rain is challenging farmers.
This is backed up Rebecca Keoghan, who runs Landcorp farms on the West Coast and is a director of Westland Milk Products. She describes the situation as “hideous”.
“People are saying it’s a green drought, but we are actually in the midst of a brown drought now because there is no grass anywhere in the region. What little rain we have had won’t be enough to make a change. I suspect part of our season is lost; I don’t think we’ll recover from it unless we get a decent rain.”
Keoghan says Landcorp has been planning a drought strategy for about 18 months and is well prepared to cope. She says the Coast has gone from the wettest winter in 40 years to the driest summer in 40 years.
According to ASB, Fonterra's plan to sell it's Anchor and Mainlands brands could inject $4.5 billion in additional spending into the economy.
New Zealand’s trade with the European Union has jumped $2 billion since a free trade deal entered into force in May last year.
The climate of uncertainty and market fragmentation that currently characterises the global economy suggests that many of the European agricultural machinery manufacturers will be looking for new markets.
Dignitaries from all walks of life – the governor general, politicians past and present, Maoridom- including the Maori Queen, church leaders, the primary sector and family and friends packed Our Lady of Kapiti’s Catholic church in Paraparaumu on Thursday October 23 to pay tribute to former prime Minister, Jim Bolger who died last week.
Agriculture and Forestry Minister, Todd McClay is encouraging farmers, growers, and foresters not to take unnecessary risks, asking that they heed weather warnings today.
With nearly two million underutilised dairy calves born annually and the beef price outlook strong, New Zealand’s opportunity to build a scalable dairy-beef system is now.

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