Ray Smith: Dairy still has growth potential despite flat export outlook
Ministry for Primary Industries (MPI) Director General Ray Smith believes there is potential for an increase in dairy farming in New Zealand.
MPI’S director of sector policy Jarred Mair says despite the short term downturn, the fundamentals for the New Zealand primary sector remain very strong.
In its latest Situation and Outlook for Primary Industries (SOPI), MPI predicts export revenue from the primary sector will rise from their estimated low for 2015 of $35.2 billion to $41.3b by 2019.
Mair puts this confidence down to population growth in our key export markets in South East Asia and says it could also be helped when the TPP is finalised. He adds that NZ is in a strong position because of its largely grass-based production system and its reputation as producer of quality food.
While dairy accounts for 40% of primary exports, Mair says NZ is not overly dependent on it as the country has a strong mix of other primary products. Though the Chinese market is challenging, South East Asian markets are strongly resurgent and there are new opportunities in Africa.
“Where there are big impacts in a global sense we will be exposed because we are predominantly an export nation. We are in a transition period, moving from a commodity base to higher value product, be that through ingredients or consumer products.”
Mair says this is probably the biggest trend MPI has seen in the last two years and one that will continue for the next two three years.
The sale of Fonterra’s global consumer and related businesses is expected to be completed within two months.
Fonterra is boosting its butter production capacity to meet growing demand.
For the most part, dairy farmers in the Waikato, Bay of Plenty, Tairawhiti and the Manawatu appear to have not been too badly affected by recent storms across the upper North Island.
South Island dairy production is up on last year despite an unusually wet, dull and stormy summer, says DairyNZ lower South Island regional manager Jared Stockman.
Following a side-by-side rolling into a gully, Safer Farms has issued a new Safety Alert.
Coming in at a year-end total at 3088 units, a rise of around 10% over the 2806 total for 2024, the signs are that the New Zealand farm machinery industry is turning the corner after a difficult couple of years.

OPINION: Meanwhile, red blooded Northland politician Matua Shane Jones has provided one of the most telling quotes of the year…
OPINION: This old mutt has been around for a few years now and it seems these ‘once in 100-year’ weather…