Monday, 20 February 2017 09:13

Warning on complacency

Written by  Peter Burke
Head of global agri for KPMG, Ian Proudfoot. Head of global agri for KPMG, Ian Proudfoot.

The head of global agri for KPMG, Ian Proudfoot says he has concerns that the apparent fast recovery in dairy prices is leading to complacency which is a problem.

He has found in recent year a strong correlation between better prices and complacency and he says farmers need to keep watch on their cost of production or be caught out financially.

Proudfoot says because of the fast recovery, some farmers who had been planning changes suddenly put these on hold.

And he says the dairy industry faces new challenges caused by the breakdown of the relationship between the US and Mexico and further uncertainty caused by Donald Trump’s election.

“Mexico was the largest buyer of American skim milk but they now appear to have reduced their buying which will mean the US will have to find different markets for some of that product and SE Asia is one of the potential markets.

“This means they would compete with New Zealand products destined for that market so we could see changes here in NZ quickly over the next couple of GDT auctions,” he says.

Proudfoot says NZ doesn’t have a special trading relationship with Mexico, but was relying on the TPP to deliver that which he doesn’t believe will happen. He says NZ now needs to urgently work on building special trading relationships with Mexico and Japan.

Meanwhile Proudfoot says overall American milk production is up and there are no signs of a reduction in Europe.

Meanwhile he’s not sure NZ milk production will be down as much as predicted a year ago. Though some farmers are suffering from drought and wet, many had a better November and December and this may reduce the drop in production.

More like this

Risky business

OPINION: In the same way that even a stopped clock is right twice a day, economists sometimes get it right.

Bagrie bags banks

OPINION: Noted economist and self-promoter Cameron Bagrie took one look at KPMG's recently released Financial Institutions Performance Survey on banks and zeroes in one key number that suggests banks are so risk averse in this country that they are probably stifling growth and innovation.

Organic Dairy Hub liquidation process continues

The liquidation of failed co-operative Organic Dairy Hub is continuing, and net proceeds will be distributed to farmer shareholders once final tax obligations have been met, according to the liquidators.

Featured

Big return on a small investment

Managing director of Woolover Ltd, David Brown, has put a lot of effort into verifying what seems intuitive, that keeping newborn stock's core temperature stable pays dividends by helping them realise their full genetic potential.

Editorial: Sensible move

OPINION: The Government's decision to rule out changes to Fringe Benefit Tax (FBT) that would cost every farmer thousands of dollars annually, is sensible.

National

Machinery & Products

» Latest Print Issues Online

Milking It

Cuddling cows

OPINION: Years of floods and low food prices have driven a dairy farm in England's northeast to stop milking its…

Bikinis in cowshed

OPINION: An animal activist organisation is calling for an investigation into the use of dairy cows in sexuallly explicit content…

» Connect with Dairy News

» eNewsletter

Subscribe to our weekly newsletter