Wednesday, 20 May 2015 09:42

Volatility dairy farmer’s friend?

Written by 
Trade minister Tim Groser. Trade minister Tim Groser.

Trade minister Tim Groser has a controversial message for dairy farmers – volatility is their friend. The industry has lived with it for 130 years, he says. 

“If dairy prices were on a constantly upward one track, this would induce supply from our competitors,” Groser told the recent New Zealand Dairy Industry Awards dinner at SkyCity in Auckland. “I am not making a silk purse out of a sow’s ear – we want dairy prices to recover and we want them to recover as soon as possible.”

But the fundamentals facing “our great industry” had not changed, he said. Because of income growth in rising economies, especially China, the demand for protein is unstoppable, and not just in dairy but across all agriculture New Zealand is uniquely well placed. 

“That’s why everyone wants a piece of action here in New Zealand. That’s why we are seeing a huge shift in migration. But the second thing is less under our control and that is supply,” Groser added.

“If dairy was simply a one way bet I can guarantee you the supply would rise to choke off that demand. So while it is a bit tough – particularly for some of the more leveraged – I want you to reflect on this. Yes, you can have too much of a good thing. But fundamentally volatility is our friend.

“Fundamentally it is sending a signal to unsubsidised competitors in South America, to lightly subsidised competitors in Australia and to moderately subsidised competitors in the United States: don’t do a one way bet because volatility in dairy is the underlying reality.”

More like this

Markets resilient, farmers hopeful

OPINION: The global dairy market continues to show resilience, and farmers remain cautiously optimistic as we move into the latter half of 2025.

Editorial: We are Trumped

OPINION: Nothing it seems can be done in the short term to get Donald Trump to change his mind about removing the unfair 15% tariffs that he’s imposed on New Zealand exports to the US.

Featured

HortNZ celebrates 20 Years

More than 150 people turned up at Parliament recently to celebrate the 20th anniversary of Horticulture New Zealand (HortNZ).

National

India FTA negotiations end

A landmark moment for New Zealand. That's how  Prime Minister Christopher Luxon describes the conclusion of negotiations for an India-New…

Machinery & Products

» Latest Print Issues Online

The Hound

Yes, Minister!

OPINION: The release of the Natural Environment Bill and Planning Bill to replace the Resource Management Act is a red-letter day…

Two-legged pests

OPINION: Federated Farmers has launched a new campaign, swapping ‘The Twelve Days of Christmas’ for ‘The Twelve Pests of Christmas’ to…

» Connect with Rural News

» eNewsletter

Subscribe to our weekly newsletter