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The future of farming described in a recent agricultural scenario is not far distant, says Nick Clark, Federated Farmers manager of general policy and chief economist.
Different scenarios depicting the future farmer are already percolating through, particularly in more intensive dairy operations, he says, as a commentator in the MYOB report.
“As time passes and a new generation comes through, you’ll see more and more of that approach to farming and by 2040 I’d expect it to be much more widespread, perhaps even ubiquitous.”
Clark says compared to where farming has come from – even five years ago – it is amazing how much electronic and machine technology is in use on farms. Farming is perceived by many to be low-skilled and low-tech, but the reality is very different. By 2040 farming will be in many ways a high-tech industry.
“This level of sophistication will be extremely important by 2040 if our productive sector is to meet the opportunities and challenges of the global markets.”
Clark says by 2050, 70% of the world population may be living in cities with more than one million people. “That will have big implications on what people will be eating. It will also have an enormous impact on how countries provide for growing populations in cities. Particularly in Asia they will eat more protein which New Zealand is well placed to provide.”
But New Zealand will face challenges from lower cost producers in the developing world as they become more productive and competitive. New Zealand will also face constraints on land and water and will be subject to more environmental controls.
Since the 1980s, the agricultural sector’s growth has been three times higher than the economy. But we can’t take it for granted that will continue without investment in people, transport, communications, science and genetics, he says.
“One of the areas with a lot of potential is agricultural services – particularly for export. We’ve a got huge expertise developed over many years in agriculture, behind the farm gate and in front of it. There’s a massive market out there for our expertise with the potential to provide an opportunity for a new sector of farming.”
All at a touch!
Excerpts from the agricultural scenario in MYOB’s ‘The Future of Business Report, New Zealand in 2040’, released this month:
Federated Farmers says new legislation replacing the Resource Management Act will cut red tape, unlock investment and help grow New Zealand's export-led economy, after the Planning Bill and Natural Environment Bill passed their third reading in Parliament yesterday.
Leading figures from the major political parties will be questioned on their primary sector policies at the Rural Issues Debate at Mystery Creek Events Centre, Hamilton, on 30 September.
OPINION: Have a plan in place now!
Beef + Lamb New Zealand (B+LNZ) says it welcomes the passage of the Natural Environment Bill and Planning Bill, calling the bills a positive step for sheep and beef farmers.
A spate of southerly winds bringing cold temperatures has presented challenges for Taranaki dairy farmers.
Converting a longstanding cropping farm to dairy was the only way to ensure the land stayed in the family long term, says new dairy farmer Rod May.

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