increase font size
Dairy farmers are expected to continue to milk as long as they can to capitalise on a record milk price this season.
Dairy farmers will be milking cows for as long as they can to capitalise on a record milk price this season.
Soaring farm input costs may erode profit margins, but a milk price near $9/kgMS provides farmers the chance to boost income and reduce debt.
Fonterra chief executive Miles Hurrell says farmers around the globe are facing inflationary pressures and NZ is no exception.
"But I don't think there will be any adverse reaction to milk production," says Hurrell.
Hurrell points out that the co-operative's milk supply is down around 3% on this time last season.
However, improving weather conditions and forecast milk collections for the balance of this season are generally on par with last season.
Fonterra expects to collect 1,525 million kgMS this season, just shy of the 1,539 million kgMS collected last season.
Former Waikato Federated Farmers president Andrew McGiven agrees that if the current payout forecasts hold true, rising input costs will not affect milk production too much.
McGiven believes farmers will instead be keeping a close eye on the weather. "If it gets too dry over summer, farmers will continue to monitor rising feed input costs, along with cow condition to determing what will be their cut-off pint for milking," he told Rural News.
"Most I think will continue to milk for as long as possible to capitalise on the payout."
While feed, fertiliser and fuel prices are rising, McGiven believes the biggest concern for farmers will be the rebound in interest rates.
“That may have a significant impact on some farm’s profitability.
“Inflation is the profit stealer from any business and we are seeing this also on most products and inputs, from diesel and petrol through to wages and fertilisers.
“At the moment we are lucky to have a good forecast milk price to buffer us from most of these impacts.
“I am trying to pay down as much debt as possible, also being well aware that we will have another potentially large tax bill looming in the next financial year that we also need to budget for, so I am certainly hoping that these type of milk prices can be sustainable in the short to medium term.”
Earlier this month, Fonterra narrowed its forecast milk price range to $8.40 - $9/kgMS, with a midpoint of $8.70/ kgMS.
Updating its milk collection figures, the cooperative says season to date collection, June – October, was 510.9 million kgMS, 3.2% behind last season.
“Cold and wet spring with limited sunshine affected pasture growth and collections early in the season,” Fonterra said. “Full season forecast remains at 1,525 million kgMS, down 0.9% on last season – improving weather conditions and balance of this season’s collections being on par with last season supports current forecast.”
Global demand for dairy remains strong and Fonterra thinks that will remain the case for the short to medium term.
At the same, the cloud of Covid-19 and new emerging variants cast a shadow over global trade.
Hurrell says the co-op is working hard to deliver for farmers, unit holders and customers and supporting employees.
“The resilience of our people and our supply chain means we continue to stay on top of the strong demand for our New Zealand milk,” he says.
“However, it is concerning to hear about new variants, which are potentially more resistant to vaccines. There is also the ongoing question of whether economies can rebound from the pandemic and then sustain their financial health.”
Hurrell says that explains why the co-op has a 60-cent range on its forecast farmgate milk price range.
OPINION: There is zero chance that someone who joined Fonterra as a lobbyist, then served as a general manager of Fonterra's nutrient management programme, and sat on the board of Export NZ, a division of lobbyist group Business New Zealand, doesn't understand that local butter (and milk and cheese) prices are set by the international commodity price.
Kiwis love their butter, and that's great because New Zealand produces some of the best butter in the world. But when the price of butter goes up, it's tough for some, particularly when many other grocery staples have also gone up and the heat goes on co-operative Fonterra, the country's main butter maker. Here the co-op explains why butter prices are so high right now.
An A$2 billion bid for Fonterra's Oceania business would be great news, according to Forsyth Barr senior analyst, equities, Matt Montgomerie.
The world's largest dairy company may be in pole position to acquire Fonterra's Australian assets.
Over 85% of Fonterra farmer suppliers will be eligible for customer funding up to $1,500 for solutions designed to drive on-farm efficiency gains and reduce emissions intensity.
Fresh produce grower and exporter T&G Global has overturned last year’s dismal performance by reporting a half year net profit of $1.7 million.
One of New Zealand’s largest fertiliser plants could be forced to shut down for four months as uncertainty looms over gas supply.
Federated Farmers North Canterbury president Bex Green says two public meetings held this week should have made it loud and clear that rural families and businesses are concerned about proposed staffing changes at NZ Police.
The Environmental Protection Authority (EPA) is consulting on a proposal to ban weedkillers containing chlorthal-dimethyl (DCPA).
August 6 marks Farm Worker Appreciation Day, a moment to recognise the dedication and hard mahi of dairy farm workers across Aotearoa - and DairyNZ is taking the opportunity to celebrate the skilled teams working on its two research farms.
OPINION: The Government has been seeking industry feedback on its proposed amendments to a range of Resource Management Act (RMA) national direction instruments.
OPINION: Your old mate's ear has been chewed off recently by farmers voicing their displeasure with the National Party, particularly…
OPINION: Your old mate hears that at a recent China Business Summit, PM Christopher Luxon delivered a none-too-subtle "could try…
