Tuesday, 09 October 2012 10:43

Dairy, beef tipped to rise

Written by 

Westpac economists are forecasting global dairy and beef prices to rise on the back of drought in the US and elsewhere.

"After a bumper 2012 worldwide production season, the curse of drought has hit several major grain-producing areas, particularly the US," says Westpac senior economist Felix Delbruck. "This has pushed up feed costs for Northern Hemisphere cattle farmers and is likely to boost global dairy and beef prices."

Delbruck notes that world dairy prices have already risen from recent lows, with Global Dairy Trade auction prices up about 20% since late July. The impact on beef prices is likely to take longer as farmers off-load stock.

However, immediate gains to local farmers may be limited. "As is often the case, the dollar has followed dairy prices higher, tempering the gains at the farm gate," says Delbruck. Westpac continues to forecast a dairy payout of $5.70 for the 2012/13 season.

"In the 2013/14 season and beyond, prospects are firmer," says Delbruck. "With a recovery in global growth and ongoing income growth in emerging markets, particularly China, we expect increased demand to underpin prices."

More like this

Featured

National

Big day at Clash of the Colleges

Craighead Diocesan, Darfield High School and Christchurch Boys' High School took out the three age groups at the Canterbury Clash…

Machinery & Products

» Latest Print Issues Online

The Hound

Sugar hit

OPINION: Winston Peters has described the decision to sell its brand to Lactalis and disperse the profit to its farmer…

Wrong focus?

OPINION: The Hound reckons a big problem with focusing too much on the wrong goal - reducing livestock emissions at…

» Connect with Rural News

» eNewsletter

Subscribe to our weekly newsletter