Rabobank 2026 Outlook: Geopolitics shapes global agriculture
The global agricultural landscape has entered a new phase where geopolitics – not only traditional market forces – will dictate agricultural trade flows, prices, and production decisions.
The narrative that suggests the only way to reduce agricultural emissions is to reduce food producing is completely wrong and has to change.
That's the view of Rabobank NZ chief executive Todd Charteris. He was speaking to Rural News in Sydney at the bank's recent symposium highlighting the importance of innovation in agriculture to effect the production of more sustainable food.
Charteris says there are billions of people in the world who are underfed and food producers such as NZ need to produce more food - not less - but produce it in a sustainable way. He says increasing yields and doing this sustainably are not incompatible and that there are many new technologies being worked on to achieve this.
"There is a lot of incredibly good work going on to try and find scientific solutions to help farmers and food producers," he told Rural News. "While they are not available yet, I think we need to have the confidence to go and chase those solutions."
This was the theme of the one-day Sydney symposium, Farm 2 Fork, which was attended by most Rabobank staff from Australia and New Zealand - along with farmers, business clients and media from both nations. There were also farmers attending from the USA.
The 1,600 attendees heard from keynote speakers from NZ, the USA, UK, Europe and Australia. All the speakers noted a new world order, both in geopolitical and economic terms, and while the challenges were candidly outlined, the venue oozed with optimism.
Charteris says, while there may have been underinvestment in terms of developing new technologies, there are now positive signs, with the private sector and government collaborating on R&D to crack the agricultural emissions issue. Traditionally, says Charteris, the role of the banks is to help finance the value chain and they are committed to that.
"But another one of our roles is to connect innovators, entrepreneurs and researchers to help solve these problems, for the benefit of farmers and growers on the ground, to wholesale companies and exporters. It's all about connecting farmers with the market."
Charteris says the take-home message from Farm 2 Fork was the optimism and excitement of all the attendees. He says there was an acknowledgement of the challenges, but there was huge focus on the opportunities and people went away highly motivated.
Peter Burke's trip to Sydney to attend the Farm 2 Fork symposium was funded by Rabobank.
The Government is set to announce two new acts to replace the contentious Resource Management Act (RMA) with the Prime Minister hinting that consents required by farmers could reduce by 46%.
Prime Minister Christopher Luxon says withdrawing from the Paris Agreement on climate change would be “a really dumb move”.
The University of Waikato has broken ground on its new medical school building.
Undoubtedly the doyen of rural culture, always with a wry smile, our favourite ginger ninja, Te Radar, in conjunction with his wife Ruth Spencer, has recently released an enchanting, yet educational read centred around rural New Zealand in one hundred objects.
Farmers are being urged to keep on top of measures to control Cysticerus ovis - or sheep measles - following a spike in infection rates.
The avocado industry is facing an extremely challenging season with all parts of the supply chain, especially growers, being warned to prepare for any eventuality.

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