Dairy giant
OPINION: Part of the reason China is buying less of our dairy produce is their success growing their own supply.
A deepening trade spat between China and Australia shouldn’t impact New Zealand, according to trade analyst Stephen Jacobi.
He says NZ and China have a strong relationship, but “from time to time, there will be things on which we disagree”.
“New Zealand has made its views known in a careful and diplomatic way,” he told Rural News. “That should not affect our trade relations.”
China/Australia relations have been deteriorating since Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison called for an international inquiry into the origins of the Covid-19 pandemic in April, a move that Beijing called “political manipulation”.
Since then the two sides have fought over several issues, particularly trade. China has slapped Australian winemakers with heavy tariffs, and banned, delayed or taxed exports of other products, including beef and barley. Australian exporters are worried that tariffs could spread to dairy exports.
Jacobi believes there is always potential for things to get worse if care is not taken.
“We hope Australia and China can get back to talking directly to each other as soon as possible,” he told Rural News.
“It does no good for New Zealand to see close friends and partners at odds with each other. Both China and Australia have recently signed the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), as has New Zealand – we should all focus more on deepening our co-operation in this way.”
China remains New Zealand’s biggest export market.
In 2020, New Zealand’s exports to China exceeded $16.7 billion, which was more than double that of our next biggest export market, Australia. The top three exports were dairy products (milk powder, butter, and cheese), wood (logs, wood, and wood articles), meat (meat and edible offal).
Last week, Fonterra chief executive Miles Hurrell said the dairy co-operative has a strong reliance on China and is watching geopolitical tensions closely.
“But we don’t get our nose involved in such disputes,” he says.
Jacobi doesn’t expect China to target NZ companies or products.
“There would be no reason for China to do this,” he says.
He also points out that NZ products enjoy a great reputation in China.
“We maintain positive political relations despite occasional disagreements. There is no reason for this to change.”
Earlier this month, the NZ Government raised concerns about China’s use on social media of a doctored image of an Australian soldier holding a knife to a child’s throat.
Last month, NZ signed a Five Eyes statement critical of a Chinese Government resolution, which led to the disqualification of four pro-democracy lawmakers in Hong Kong.
Federated Farmers says it welcomes the announcement of extra Government support for farmers and growers in Southland and parts of Otago after the region was hit by severe wet weather.
ASB has become the first bank to forecast a milk price above $9/kgMS for this season.
The Meat Industry Association (MIA) and Beef + Lamb New Zealand (B+LNZ) say they welcome the announcement that the European Union’s Deforestation-free supply chains Regulation (EUDR) will be delayed by 12 months.
Waikato-based milk processor Tatua has announced a final 2023-24 season payout of $10.50/kgMS for its farmer shareholders, again topping the payout stakes among NZ milk processors.
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