increase font size
China remains our top market with 50% of total lamb exports, but the value of shipments has plunged 25% year-on-year.
'El Nino has officially arrived.’
That’s how Rabobank’s October agribusiness report begins, on the back of NIWA’s weather reports for September.
This has seen RaboResearch lower its milk production forecast from the big seven milk export regions to a mere 0.4% growth in output. However, it also sees a possible whiplash in milk prices growing as demand resurgence potentially outstrips milk output, leading to a shortage of milk and providing a bullish run into 2024.
Following beef prices tracking upwards in August after slipping in July, the banks says the North Island bull price is tracking for a slight lift above the five year average by the end of the month. In the US, higher domestic lean beef pricings as well as lower inventory are anticipated to provide positive support for imported NZ product over the coming weeks. While YOY shipments to China fell by 40%, this is mostly offset by much higher export volumes (+118%) and values (+80%) to the US.
Lamb prices generally follow on from August; that is to say, historically low but stable. While China remains our top market with 50% of total lamb exports, the value of shipments has plunged 25% year-on-year. However, demand from other markets is stronger than this point last year, with exports to the UK and US higher yearon- year for volume and value. On the other hand, Rabobank sees some indications showing that volumes may be starting to move again in the Chinese market.
The report says the bank’s prediction that August’s surge in fertiliser prices was only a temporary price correction has been borne out by the drop in Middle East reference for urea dropping 2.5% and Canadian potash steadying. Meanwhile, it says Chinese price of herbicides, fungicides and insecticides have dropped 30% YOY, and next season is likely to have a better cost structure for agrichemicals and fertilisers.
Rabobank says with Q2 growth exceeding expectations and a revised result for Q1 bringing it out of the negative, combined with a weak currency and rising global energy prices, make a much greater likelihood of a rise in the official cash rate in the near future.
Rural banker Rabobank is partnering with Food Rescue Kitchen on a new TV series which airs this weekend that aims to shine a light on the real and growing issues of food waste, food poverty and social isolation in New Zealand.
Free workshops are being offered around the country to help farmers take more ownership of their farm business finances.
Could smaller foodservice operators take advantage of the benefits of artificial intelligence (AI)?
A change of government and the possibility of better markets prices has lifted farmer confidence, but it still remains fragile.
The country’s 4200 commercial fruit and vegetable growers will vote from May 14 on a new HortNZ levy.
Meat processor Alliance Group is asking farmer shareholders to inject more capital in order to remain a 100% co-operative.
A vet is calling for all animals to be vaccinated against a new strain of leptospirosis (lepto) discovered on New Zealand dairy farms in recent years.
Dairy
Rural banker Rabobank is partnering with Food Rescue Kitchen on a new TV series which airs this weekend that aims to shine a light on the real and growing issues of food waste, food poverty and social isolation in New Zealand.
Telco infrastructure provider Chorus says that it believes all Kiwis – particularly those in the rural areas – need access to high-speed, reliable broadband.
OPINION: The new government has clearly signalled big cuts across the public service.
OPINION: Your canine crusader is not surprised by the recent news that New Zealand plant-based ‘fake meat’ business is in…
