Rabobank 2026 Outlook: Geopolitics shapes global agriculture
The global agricultural landscape has entered a new phase where geopolitics – not only traditional market forces – will dictate agricultural trade flows, prices, and production decisions.
Rabobank’s Farm 2 Fork (F2F) summit in Sydney was all about food – but briefly became about fashion as Dutch Queen Maxima took to the stage with husband King Willem-Alexander to congratulate winners in the Food Bytes! competition.
King Willem Alexander also officially opened the conference, speaking about how a small country like the Netherlands had been able to become the world’s second largest exporter of food through technology and considered use of land.
Rabobank executive board member Berry Marttin spoke earlier on how in China today two thirds of all sales are done through web markets. Today the Dutch buy their food through traditional retailers but the internet is quickly changing that.
He says there will be fewer farmers and bigger farms and consolidation in the food companies.
Farmers will need to make sure they product what consumers want to eat. The current model is to produce and sell later. He says if you produce what the consumers want they will pay more – but who will get that money? Farmers need to ensure it comes to them.
The Food Bytes! Competition was for food companies with new innovations competing for investment funding.
Virtual fencing and herding systems supplier, Halter is welcoming a decision by the Victorian Government to allow farmers in the state to use the technology.
DairyNZ’s latest Econ Tracker update shows most farms will still finish the season in a positive position, although the gap has narrowed compared with early season expectations.
New Zealand’s national lamb crop for the 2025–26 season is estimated at 19.66 million head, a lift of one percent (or 188,000 more lambs) on last season, according to Beef + Lamb New Zealand’s (B+LNZ) latest Lamb Crop report.
Farmers appear to be cautiously welcoming the Government’s plan to reform local government, according to Ag First chief executive, James Allen.
The Fonterra divestment capital return should provide “a tailwind to GDP growth” next year, according to a new ANZ NZ report, but it’s not “manna from heaven” for the economy.
Fonterra's Eltham site in Taranaki is stepping up its global impact with an upgrade to its processed cheese production lines, boosting capacity to meet growing international demand.