Zespri Forecasts Record Returns for 2025/26 Kiwifruit Season
According to Zespri's November forecast for the 2025/26 season, returns are likely to be up for all fruit groups compared to the last forecast in August.
That's the view of Zespri's chief executive Dan Mathieson. He told Hort News that while there's been a slight delay to the start of the picking season, they are seeing a lot of good quality fruit sizes coming through. But he adds that due to last year's October frost - and to some extent, Cyclone Gabrielle - the 2023 crop will be lower than last season.
"We think it will be in the order of between 15% and 20%," he says.
Mathieson says a huge effort is being made to ensure that fruit quality in 2023 is back to where it should be. He says there is an industry wide response plan to the problem to deal with the issue and all those in the supply chain are cooperating fully.
"This relies on growers making sure that the fruit is coming off the vine into bags in the way it should," he told Hort News.
"Our post-harvest sector is managing the quality well through packing process and Zespri ensuring that the fruit gets out to our customers in the best possible condition. Also, the shipping people managing the condition of the fruit on our vessels to ensure that when it gets to market, it's ready to go and ready to eat state," he adds.
Last season, poor quality fruit cost the kiwifruit sector about $500 million dollars. But worse still, it caused considerable adverse reaction from buyers of our fruit and Zespri was a put on a warning to sort the quality issue out pronto.
Mathieson says Zespri's research shows that one of the main reason for the drop in quality was the shortage of people to pick the fruit, remembering this took place in the middle of a major Covid outbreak compounded by a lack of overseas workers. He says the industry at the time was short of about 7,000 workers and those picking the fruit were under pressure.
"So, we saw a lot of damage coming from picking. A lot of that fruit was going into the bins too quickly, that was creating bruising and physical damage and that was taking about five weeks to show through," he explains.
"Then we started to find that in-market, and we were having to repack a lot of that fruit. As we got into the season, we started to realise the scale of the problem and we began repacking fruit in our packhouses here before it left for market."
