Trade balance with the US a saving grace
New Zealand is so far escaping the unpredictable vagaries of President Donald Trump's trade policies by the skin of its teeth.
The second to last Global Dairy Trade (GDT) event for the 2017-18 production season saw the auction’s price index down 1.1%.
Whole milk powder price index was down 1.5% to US$3231/metric tonne.
Rabobank’s dairy analyst Emma Higgins says the drop in WMP price coincides with Fonterra revising upwards their production forecast for the full season to -2% (from -3% previously) to 1.5billion kgMS.
“Weather has improved for most parts around the country and in fact total New Zealand production for the season to date (March 2018) is only trailing marginally behind last season at just -0.3%.
“More generally, New Zealand product pricing tends to wane over the coming weeks as we move into our seasonal production hiatus and sentiment trails off as the focus shifts to the Northern Hemisphere.”
However, there still remains demand for fresh SMP and a late spring in the Northern Hemisphere delaying production has resulted in tighter fresh inventories.
“As such, we saw positive price support for SMP this morning, with a lift of 3.6% bringing the average SMP price just shy of the US$2000 mark.
“New Zealand product is still priced at a premium over European sourced SMP. And while demand for fresh is strong, old EU SMP stocks are seeing some clearing movement.”
Results
AMF index down 1.9%, average price US$6,032/MT
Butter index unchanged, average price US$5,647/MT
BMP index up 0.5%, average price US$1,990/MT
Ched index up 3.1%, average price US$4,024/MT
LAC index up 0.6%, average price US$616/MT
RenCas index down 10.5%, average price US$5,177/MT
SMP index up 3.6%, average price US$1,999/MT
WMP index down 1.5%, average price US$3,231/MT
Among the regular exhibitors at last month’s South Island Agricultural Field Days, the one that arguably takes the most intensive preparation every time is the PGG Wrightson Seeds site.
Two high producing Canterbury dairy farmers are moving to blended stockfeed supplements fed in-shed for a number of reasons, not the least of which is to boost protein levels, which they can’t achieve through pasture under the region’s nitrogen limit of 190kg/ha.
Buoyed by strong forecasts for milk prices and a renewed demand for dairy assets, the South Island rural real estate market has begun the year with positive momentum, according to Colliers.
The six young cattle breeders participating in the inaugural Holstein Friesian NZ young breeder development programme have completed their first event of the year.
New Zealand feed producers are being encouraged to boost staff training to maintain efficiency and product quality.
OPINION: The world is bracing for a trade war between the two biggest economies.