Trade balance with the US a saving grace
New Zealand is so far escaping the unpredictable vagaries of President Donald Trump's trade policies by the skin of its teeth.
The plant-based meat product sector in the US is in a crisis, according to Rabobank's US-based executive director Rabobank Research, Nick Fereday.
Sales have "hit a wall" and Fereday blames this on price and taste - two of the main factors that drive consumer purchasing habits.
Speaking to a group of leading farmers from 12 countries in Hamilton last week, Fereday says plant-based meat and milk have been at the forefront of farmers' minds since 2019.
Plant-based meat and dairy sales were growing, although they started from a small base. While plant-based dairy sales seem to be holding up in the US, plant-based meat sales have tanked.
Fereday says it comes down to taste and price.
"At the end of the day, they are asking consumers to pay more for a product that isn't as tasty as the product they are trying to replace," he says. "Usually, new products are sold at a discount, but they did the opposite for plant-based meat."
A recent survey by Rabobank NZ and KiwiHarvest shows that vegetarian numbers saw little change while vegans significantly decreased back to 2021 numbers.
Fereday notes that the US plant-based market had received a boost at the start of the Covid-19 pandemic when consumers were forced to seek out meat alternatives because of supply chain issues. The sector was boosted by double digits at the start of the pandemic. But the sector has failed to recover since the pandemic.
Fereday says major meat companies who had invested in plant-based meat companies were pulling back.
Meat titan JBS abandoned its plant-based business in the US just two years after entering the alternative meat market in that country. Canada's Maple Leaf Foods reduced its plant-based investment, citing slower sales.
He believes long term there is potential for plant-based meat, not as an alternative to meat but as a vegetarian option.
While plant-based meat is overpriced and under delivering in the US, plant-based milk consumption is growing. Fereday says it doesn't taste as good as milk but is attractive to the lactose intolerant who make up a sizeable part of the US population.
Best of the Best
Twenty-eight farmers from five continents and 12 different countries are spending 10 days in New Zealand taking part in the latest Rabobank Global Farmers Master Class (GFMC).
The bank describes it as a state-of-the-art agri learning programme established in 2012 to bring together leading farmers from around the world to address global food security.
The 2023 Rabobank GFMC kicked off in Hamilton last week and will finish in Queenstown on December 6.
The master class programme will feature presentations from top agricultural thinkers and business experts, interactive workshops and case studies, as well as visits to a range of flagship agribusiness operations in both the North and South Islands.
Among the regular exhibitors at last month’s South Island Agricultural Field Days, the one that arguably takes the most intensive preparation every time is the PGG Wrightson Seeds site.
Two high producing Canterbury dairy farmers are moving to blended stockfeed supplements fed in-shed for a number of reasons, not the least of which is to boost protein levels, which they can’t achieve through pasture under the region’s nitrogen limit of 190kg/ha.
Buoyed by strong forecasts for milk prices and a renewed demand for dairy assets, the South Island rural real estate market has begun the year with positive momentum, according to Colliers.
The six young cattle breeders participating in the inaugural Holstein Friesian NZ young breeder development programme have completed their first event of the year.
New Zealand feed producers are being encouraged to boost staff training to maintain efficiency and product quality.
OPINION: The world is bracing for a trade war between the two biggest economies.