Ray Smith: Dairy still has growth potential despite flat export outlook
Ministry for Primary Industries (MPI) Director General Ray Smith believes there is potential for an increase in dairy farming in New Zealand.
OPINION: Sobering is perhaps the best word to describe the latest Situation and Outlook report on Primary Industries (SOPI) produced by the Ministry for Primary Industries (MPI).
The quarterly report is a snapshot of the performance of our primary sector that also forecasts the outlook for the coming four years, based on data from a variety of sources.
First up the good news, much touted by the Government, is the performance of the overall sector in the past to the end of June: The sector has earned the country a whopping $56.2 billion – an increase of 6% on 2022 and according to Agriculture Minister, Damien O’Connor, $1.2 billion more than MPI had earlier predicted.
This great outcome is largely the result of the performance of the dairy industry which earned $25.1 billion – double that of the meat and wool sector. Further good news is that, all things being equal, the dairy industry will keep up the good work over the next four years and by 2027, export revenue from the sector will hit $28.2 billion.
But in a world where things change rapidly, where the words volatility and uncertainty are commonly used, there is no guarantee things will go as MPI suggests.
On the home front, dairy farmers face a tidal wave of challenges with high interest costs, inflation, on-farm costs, a messy situation with regulations which has now become politicised and then there a still something of a problem with accessing labour.
So, it’s far from a perfect world.
The sale of Fonterra’s global consumer and related businesses is expected to be completed within two months.
Fonterra is boosting its butter production capacity to meet growing demand.
For the most part, dairy farmers in the Waikato, Bay of Plenty, Tairawhiti and the Manawatu appear to have not been too badly affected by recent storms across the upper North Island.
South Island dairy production is up on last year despite an unusually wet, dull and stormy summer, says DairyNZ lower South Island regional manager Jared Stockman.
Following a side-by-side rolling into a gully, Safer Farms has issued a new Safety Alert.
Coming in at a year-end total at 3088 units, a rise of around 10% over the 2806 total for 2024, the signs are that the New Zealand farm machinery industry is turning the corner after a difficult couple of years.