$8 final milk price likely
An $8/kgMS farm gate milk price is still on the cards with less than six weeks left to run this season.
Global dairy prices are continuing their merry run with the Global Dairy Trade (GDT) price index rising for the fifth consecutive auction.
The GDT price index rose 3.2% compared to the previous auction; a strong demand for fat products saw big rise butter and anhydrous milk fat prices.
Surprisingly, the price for Fonterra’s flagship product, whole milk powder- rose 1.3% over the previous auction, despite the market forecasting a 2% drop. WMP price index now sits at US$3312/tonne.
Westpac senior market strategist Imre Speizer says the rise in GDT price index was led by fat products (butter up 11.2%).
“WMP was more subdued, up 1.3% which was slightly above futures prices which implied a 2% fall. The positive outturn has implications for analysts’ forecasts of the milk payout for the next season (2017-18),” he says.
Key Results
AMF index up 8.2%, average price US$6,631/MT
Butter index up 11.2%, average price US$5,479/MT
BMP index up 7.0%, average price US$1,980/MT
Ched index up 0.6%, average price US$3,726/MT
LAC index up 2.0%, average price US$967/MT
RenCas index down 3.7%, average price US$6,259/MT
SMP index up 1.0%, average price US$1,998/MT
WMP index up 1.3%, average price US$3,312/MT
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