"Our" business?
OPINION: One particular bone the Hound has been gnawing on for years now is how the chattering classes want it both ways when it comes to the success of NZ's dairy industry.
Fonterra has scope to lift its payout from current guidance, but its losses on Beingmate will likely weigh on its earnings and dividend payments, says New Zealand brokerage firm OMF Financial.
With dairy prices strengthening, OMF says milk price models show scope for Fonterra to lift its milk prices by 25c/kgMS from its current guidance of $6.40/kgMS.
This is unaffected by the GDT price index easing by 0.5% at last week’s auction, the first decline of the year.
“We see scope for Fonterra to raise their payout by NZ$0.25/kgMS for 2017-18, which would provide a buffer against the co-op’s likely losses and write-down associated with its investment in Beingmate,” OMF says in its monthly dairy report.
“Recently, there have been growing concerns over Fonterra’s investment in Chinese infant formula producer Beingmate Baby & Child Food,” OMF says.
“Beingmate’s poor performance has a direct impact on Fonterra’s profitability: Fonterra’s share of Beingmate’s net loss was reported at $42 million in the full year 2017. We expect losses this year to weigh on Fonterra’s earnings and dividend payments.”
BNZ’s Doug Steel says the easing by 0.5% at last week’s GDT Event auction was close to expectations. “Prices remain 12.9% higher than at the start of the year and 3.5% up on a year ago. Wholemilk powder prices rose 0.3%, with an average price of US$3246/t.”
Steel says the result fits with the idea that the upward price influence from NZ’s adverse weather has run its course, although there may have been some reduction in demand due to the lunar new year. Only 152 bidders took part in this auction, the lowest number seen in the past year.
“The ongoing theme of large EU stockpiles of skim milk powder and elevated EU milk production continues to weigh on skim milk powder prices,” Steel said. “SMP prices fell 3%, with an average price of US$1,832/t.
“The level of current dairy product prices helps Fonterra’s $6.40 milk price forecast for the 2017-18 season look achieveable.
“There is upside [possibility] to our $6.30 view at current product price levels. Indeed, if current prices were to persist for the remainder of the season something above $6.40 looks possible. It all depends on where international prices track over the coming months and, critically, what effective exchange rate Fonterra has managed to achieve.”
Phoebe Scherer, a technical manager from the Bay of Plenty, has won the 2025 Young Grower of the Year national title.
The Fencing Contractors Association of New Zealand (FCANZ) celebrated the best of the best at the 2025 Fencing Industry Awards, providing the opportunity to honour both rising talent and industry stalwarts.
Award-winning boutique cheese company, Cranky Goat Ltd has gone into voluntary liquidation.
As an independent review of the National Pest Management Plan for TB finds the goal of complete eradication by 2055 is still valide, feedback is being sought on how to finish the job.
Beef + Lamb New Zealand has launched an AI-powered digital assistant to help farmers using the B+LNZ Knowledge Hub to create tailored answers and resources for their farming businesses.
A tiny organism from the arid mountains of mainland Greece is facilitating a new way of growing healthier animals on farms across New Zealand.