$8 milk price this season 'out of reach'
An $8/kgMS farmgate milk price for this season may be out of reach, according to ASB economist Nathaniel Keall.
Dairy prices are low and likely to stay that way a while longer, according to the latest ASB Farmshed Economics Report.
"After a drought-driven false dawn earlier this year, prices are at their lowest in five years," says ASB's rural economist Nathan Penny.
"This is driven by a potent mix of domestic production getting a second wind and demand remaining weak. However, we still expect production to slow down to the point where demand can catch up, just later than previously expected."
ASB has cut its forecast for the 2015-16 season to $5.70/kgMS as well as adopting Fonterra's lowered 2014-15 milk price forecast of $4.50/kg MS.
Penny says it also now expects the RBNZ to cut the OCR this year, most likely by 25bp in each of September and October.
"The lower interest rate outlook has let some of the hot air out of the NZD, and it has started to fall against most major currencies. Also in the end, the NZD never reached its threatened parity with the AUD. If we do see the NZD weaken over the year, the lower NZD will support farmers' export returns in NZ dollars and make NZ products more competitive in international markets."
China’s Ambassador Wang Xiaolong says bilateral economic and trade cooperation between China and New Zealand has made significant and rapid progress.
South Waikato farm manager Ben Purua’s amazing transformation from gang life to milking cows was rewarded with the Ahuwhenua Young Maori Farmer award last night.
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Ministry for Primary Industries (MPI) director general Ray Smith says job cuts announced this morning will not impact the way the Ministry is organised or merge business units.
Scales Corporation is acquiring a number of orchard assets from Bostock Group.